When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

When did they go over?

874 games · 2023–2026 · pick one to list those games
52% went over. Of the 450 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 25% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 21% of games.

Went over in Q4: 335 games

2023–2026 · newest first
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2026 · Week 7
CHI -3 50.5 10344854 Q4 CHI Q1
Late over
24–30
2026 · Week 6
BUF -5.5 54.5 10263663 Q4 LV Q4
Late over
33–30
2026 · Week 6
CHI -1.5 50.5 14283554 Q4 CHI Q1 31–23
2026 · Week 6
IND -6.5 43.5 0131946 Q4 TEN Q4
Late over
26–20
2026 · Week 6
NE -7.5 42.5 10203045 Q4 NYJ Q3
Late over
19–26
2026 · Week 6
NO -1.5 46.5 7203761 Q4 NO Q3 34–27
2026 · Week 6
PIT -2.5 37.5 316193845 Q4 PIT OT
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
26–19
2026 · Week 5
LAR -3.5 55.5 620336871 Q4 BUF Q1
Late over
37–34
2026 · Week 5
ATL -3 44.5 1023324653 Q4 BAL Q3
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
30–23
2026 · Week 5
DET -4.5 55.5 7315266 Q4 DET Q2 45–21
2026 · Week 5
CIN -7.5 45.5 14283855 Q4 MIA Q4
Late cover flip
31–24
2026 · Week 5
NE -8.5 51.5 21284562 Q4 NE Q2 17–45
2026 · Week 5
WSH -3.5 41.5 915325454 Q4 NYG Q4
Late cover flip Lead lost
27–27
2026 · Week 4
NO -1.5 48.5 14314169 Q4 ATL Q1 45–24
2026 · Week 4
DET -3.5 52.5 10324858 Q4 CAR Q1
Late over
26–32
2026 · Week 4
KC -3.5 47.5 14232357 Q4 LV Q1
Late over
30–27
2026 · Week 4
SEA -7 43.5 10264353 Q4 Push
Late cover flip
23–30
2026 · Week 4
BUF -7 49.5 7313855 Q4 NE Q1
Late over
29–26
2026 · Week 4
LAR -4.5 42.5 6303044 Q4 PHI Q1
Late over Lead lost
24–20
2026 · Week 4
BAL -11.5 41.5 14313442 Q4 TEN Q4
Late cover flip Late over
18–24
2026 · Week 4
HOU -3 48.5 13224364 Q4 DAL Q4 34–30
2026 · Week 4
PIT -2.5 38.5 7313151 Q4 CLE Q2 24–27
2026 · Week 3
DEN -1.5 44.5 7163256 Q4 DEN Q4
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
26–30
2026 · Week 3
BAL -3 54.5 17304565 Q4 Push
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
34–31
2026 · Week 3
SF -7.5 48.5 7233666 Q4 ARI Q4
Late cover flip
30–36
2026 · Week 3
DET -7 49.5 0172755 Q4 Push
Late cover flip Late over
24–31
2026 · Week 3
GB -4.5 43.5 14243149 Q4 ATL Q1
Late over
35–14
2026 · Week 2
KC -6 46.5 1737445463 Q4 IND Q1 30–33
2026 · Week 2
DAL -4.5 51.5 10274057 Q4 DAL Q1
Late over
20–37
2026 · Week 2
SF -12.5 44.5 7204148 Q4 SF Q3
Late over
13–35
2026 · Week 2
PHI -7 39.5 7243444 Q4 TEN Q1
Late over
24–20
2026 · Week 2
TB -8.5 41.5 9153242 Q4 CLE Q1
Late over Lead lost
23–19
2026 · Week 2
BUF -5.5 54.5 14375172 Q4 BUF Q1 31–41
2026 · Week 1
DAL -3 47.5 7213548 Q4 NYG Q1 20–28
2026 · Week 1
MIN -2.5 46.5 12293961 Q4 MIN Q4 22–39
2026 · Week 1
PHI -6 43.5 3232646 Q4 WSH Q4
Late cover flip Late over
22–24
2026 · Week 1
CIN -3.5 50.5 17344760 Q4 CIN Q1 27–33
2026 · Week 1
BAL -3 48.5 20444764 Q4 BAL Q1 41–23
2026 · Week 1
JAX -8.5 40.5 14243744 Q4 JAX Q1
Late over
10–34
2025 · Postseason
NE -3 40.5 10313744 Q4 NE Q1 16–28
2025 · Postseason
SEA -7 44.5 17304047 Q4 SEA Q1 6–41
2025 · Postseason
DEN -1.5 45.5 1030406063 Q4 DEN OT
Late cover flip Lead lost
30–33
2025 · Postseason
GB -1.5 46.5 10242758 Q4 CHI Q4
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
27–31
2025 · Postseason
LAR -10 44.5 7313765 Q4 CAR Q1 34–31
2025 · Week 18
BAL -4.5 41.5 7132350 Q4 PIT Q3
Late over Lead lost
24–26
2025 · Week 18
BUF -13.5 39.5 7212943 Q4 BUF Q2 8–35
2025 · Week 18
LAR -14.5 49.5 6224357 Q4 LAR Q4
Late cover flip
20–37
2025 · Week 18
NE -14.5 43.5 14274148 Q4 NE Q3 10–38
2025 · Week 18
PHI -3 38.5 0172741 Q4 WSH Q4
Late over
24–17
2025 · Week 18
DAL -3 50.5 16263451 Q4 NYG Q2 17–34
2025 · Week 18
JAX -13.5 46.5 14384148 Q4 JAX Q2 7–41
2025 · Week 17
LAR -7.5 48.5 7214151 Q4 ATL Q1
Late over
24–27
2025 · Week 17
NYG -3 40.5 7203744 Q4 NYG Q1
Late over
34–10
2025 · Week 17
DAL -8.5 50.5 10344753 Q4 WSH Q3
Late over
30–23
2025 · Week 16
BAL -3.5 47.5 7203052 Q4 NE Q4
Late over Lead lost
28–24
2025 · Week 16
DET -7.5 52.5 3202253 Q4 PIT Q1
Late over
29–24
2025 · Week 16
HOU -14.5 39.5 7203044 Q4 LV Q1 21–23
2025 · Week 16
BUF -10.5 41.5 14304043 Q4 CLE Q1 23–20
2025 · Week 16
DAL -1.5 50.5 14384151 Q4 LAC Q1
Late over
34–17
2025 · Week 16
PHI -7 43.5 10172447 Q4 PHI Q4
Late over
29–18
2025 · Week 16
SEA -1.5 42.5 1020376075 Q4 LAR Q2 37–38
2025 · Week 15
DAL -5.5 47.5 14344760 Q4 MIN Q1 34–26
2025 · Week 15
SF -12.5 44.5 10274161 Q4 SF Q3
Late cover flip
24–37
2025 · Week 15
BUF -2.5 49.5 14314566 Q4 BUF Q4 35–31
2025 · Week 15
NYG -3 45.5 3293650 Q4 WSH Q1
Late over
29–21
2025 · Week 15
TB -6 43.5 7273457 Q4 ATL Q4
Late cover flip Lead lost
29–28
2025 · Week 14
GB -6.5 44.5 0173549 Q4 GB Q2
Late cover flip Late over
21–28
2025 · Week 14
LAR -9.5 49.5 17344862 Q4 LAR Q2 45–17
2025 · Week 14
DEN -8.5 40.5 14212841 Q4 LV Q4
Late cover flip Late over
24–17
2025 · Week 14
SEA -7 44.5 6122946 Q4 SEA Q3 37–9
2025 · Week 14
BUF -6 54.5 10323973 Q4 CIN Q1 34–39
2025 · Week 14
MIA -2.5 41.5 28313144 Q4 MIA Q1
Late over
34–10
2025 · Week 14
TB -7.5 41.5 14173444 Q4 NO Q1
Late over
24–20
2025 · Week 14
IND -2.5 44.5 21384155 Q4 JAX Q1 19–36
2025 · Week 14
BAL -5.5 43.5 10264349 Q4 PIT Q1 27–22
2025 · Week 14
DET -3.5 55.5 13294674 Q4 DET Q1 30–44
2025 · Week 13
NE -7 46.5 17373748 Q4 NE Q1
Late over
15–33
2025 · Week 13
LAC -9.5 40.5 7142845 Q4 LAC Q3
Late over
14–31
2025 · Week 13
ATL -3 38.5 0143151 Q4 NYJ Q4
Late cover flip Lead lost
24–27
2025 · Week 12
JAX -1.5 46.5 1424314851 Q4 JAX OT
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
27–24
2025 · Week 12
CHI -2.5 47.5 14384559 Q4 CHI Q3 28–31
2025 · Week 12
DET -14.5 50.5 1037375461 Q4 NYG Q1
Lead lost
27–34
2025 · Week 11
DAL -3.5 48.5 9334049 Q4 DAL Q2 33–16
2025 · Week 11
BAL -7.5 37.5 6262639 Q4 CLE Q1
Late over Lead lost
23–16
2025 · Week 11
SF -3.5 48.5 20354563 Q4 SF Q1 41–22
2025 · Week 11
ATL -4.5 41.5 1431405457 Q4 CAR Q3
Late over Lead lost
30–27
2025 · Week 11
GB -7.5 42.5 7263247 Q4 NYG Q1
Late over Lead lost
27–20
2025 · Week 10
LAR -6.5 49.5 14284268 Q4 LAR Q1 42–26
2025 · Week 10
CLE -2.5 37.5 21343447 Q4 NYJ Q1 20–27
2025 · Week 10
TB -2.5 48.5 14243751 Q4 NE Q1
Late over
28–23
2025 · Week 10
IND -5.5 48.5 2027305056 Q4 IND OT
Late cover flip Late over
25–31
2025 · Week 9
SEA -2.5 47.5 7384552 Q4 SEA Q1 38–14
2025 · Week 9
JAX -1.5 44.5 09154659 Q4 LV Q1
Late over Lead lost
30–29
2025 · Week 9
DET -9.5 47.5 21314151 Q4 MIN Q1
Late over
27–24
2025 · Week 9
LAC -9.5 44.5 21373747 Q4 TEN Q1
Late cover flip Late over
27–20
2025 · Week 9
NE -5.5 45.5 14353847 Q4 ATL Q4
Late cover flip Late over
23–24
2025 · Week 9
SF -2.5 47.5 14243058 Q4 SF Q2
Late over
34–24
2025 · Week 8
GB -2.5 45.5 10233360 Q4 GB Q4 35–25
2025 · Week 8
DEN -4.5 51.5 17374768 Q4 DEN Q1 24–44
2025 · Week 8
IND -14.5 47.5 10243852 Q4 IND Q3
Late over
14–38
2025 · Week 8
ATL -6.5 43.5 7202744 Q4 MIA Q1 34–10
2025 · Week 8
NE -6.5 40.5 10163745 Q4 NE Q3 13–32
2025 · Week 8
PHI -7.5 43.5 14313758 Q4 PHI Q2 20–38
2025 · Week 8
BUF -7.5 48.5 3224349 Q4 BUF Q2 40–9
2025 · Week 8
BAL -2.5 44.5 6162246 Q4 BAL Q2
Late over
16–30
2025 · Week 8
LAC -3.5 44.5 7243447 Q4 LAC Q1
Late over
10–37
2025 · Week 7
SEA -3.5 41.5 14203946 Q4 SEA Q1
Late over
19–27
2025 · Week 7
GB -6.5 44.5 3193350 Q4 ARI Q1
Late over Lead lost
27–23
2025 · Week 7
DEN -7.5 40.5 7131965 Q4 NYG Q1
Lead lost
32–33
2025 · Week 7
CLE -2.5 35.5 3233037 Q4 CLE Q1 6–31
2025 · Week 7
PHI -2.5 44.5 10203750 Q4 PHI Q1 28–22
2025 · Week 7
PIT -5.5 44.5 7273764 Q4 CIN Q2 31–33
2025 · Week 6
WSH -5.5 48.5 6203349 Q4 CHI Q1
Late over Lead lost
25–24
2025 · Week 6
GB -13.5 44.5 0101745 Q4 CIN Q1
Late cover flip Late over
18–27
2025 · Week 6
TB -3.5 46.5 10364649 Q4 TB Q1
Late over
19–30
2025 · Week 6
IND -8.5 46.5 14244158 Q4 ARI Q1
Lead lost
27–31
2025 · Week 6
LAC -3.5 45.5 13223656 Q4 MIA Q4
Late cover flip
29–27
2025 · Week 6
DAL -2.5 45.5 6304457 Q4 CAR Q4 27–30
2025 · Week 5
KC -3.5 45.5 7213559 Q4 JAX Q3
Late over
28–31
2025 · Week 5
DET -9.5 48.5 7173161 Q4 DET Q2 37–24
2025 · Week 5
ARI -7.5 41.5 17272743 Q4 TEN Q4
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
22–21
2025 · Week 5
NYJ -2.5 47.5 6263659 Q4 DAL Q1
Late over
37–22
2025 · Week 5
MIA -1.5 44.5 3273051 Q4 CAR Q4
Late over
24–27
2025 · Week 5
MIN -3.5 35.5 14173138 Q4 MIN Q4
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
21–17
2025 · Week 5
LAR -8.5 43.5 724344649 Q4 SF Q1
Late over
26–23
2025 · Week 4
MIA -2.5 43.5 3133448 Q4 MIA Q1
Late over
21–27
2025 · Week 4
GB -6.5 46.5 729437480 Q4 DAL Q2
Lead lost
40–40
2025 · Week 4
BAL -2.5 49.5 10304357 Q4 KC Q2 20–37
2025 · Week 4
LV -2.5 46.5 10233749 Q4 CHI Q4
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
25–24
2025 · Week 4
SF -3.5 46.5 3234047 Q4 JAX Q1 26–21
2025 · Week 4
BUF -14.5 48.5 21243750 Q4 NO Q1
Late over
19–31
2025 · Week 4
NE -3 42.5 13344155 Q4 NE Q2 13–42
2025 · Week 4
MIN -2.5 41.5 10202745 Q4 PIT Q1
Late over
21–24
2025 · Week 3
BAL -4.5 53.5 14284268 Q4 DET Q1 38–30
2025 · Week 3
TB -6.5 42.5 6262956 Q4 NYJ Q4
Late cover flip Late over
27–29
2025 · Week 3
WSH -2.5 44.5 10304465 Q4 WSH Q1 24–41
2025 · Week 3
BUF -11.5 50.5 14283552 Q4 MIA Q1
Late over
21–31
2025 · Week 2
ARI -6.5 45.5 13233649 Q4 CAR Q4
Late cover flip Late over
22–27
2025 · Week 2
CIN -3.5 50.5 14274858 Q4 CIN Q4
Late cover flip Lead lost
27–31
2025 · Week 2
DAL -4.5 44.5 623337477 Q4 NYG Q1 37–40
2025 · Week 2
LAR -5.5 40.5 7233652 Q4 LAR Q4 33–19
2025 · Week 2
SF -2.5 40.5 6233347 Q4 SF Q1 26–21
2025 · Week 2
PIT -3.5 40.5 13212848 Q4 SEA Q3 31–17
2025 · Week 2
BAL -12.5 46.5 3133058 Q4 BAL Q4
Late over
17–41
2025 · Week 1
CHI -1.5 43.5 7162351 Q4 MIN Q4
Late over
27–24
2025 · Week 1
KC -3.5 47.5 7193248 Q4 LAC Q1
Late over
21–27
2024 · Postseason
KC -1.5 48.5 7244062 Q4 PHI Q1
Late over
22–40
2024 · Postseason
KC -2.5 49.5 10374361 Q4 KC Q4
Late cover flip
29–32
2024 · Postseason
BAL -1.5 51.5 14314052 Q4 BUF Q1
Late over
25–27
2024 · Postseason
PHI -7.5 43.5 20233150 Q4 LAR Q1
Late over
22–28
2024 · Postseason
LAC -2.5 41.5 6162644 Q4 HOU Q2
Late over
12–32
2024 · Week 18
LAC -6.5 41.5 6273354 Q4 LAC Q2
Late over
34–20
2024 · Week 18
NYJ -2.5 39.5 6212452 Q4 NYJ Q2 20–32
2024 · Week 18
GB -10.5 41.5 10272746 Q4 CHI Q1
Late over
24–22
2024 · Week 18
TEN -2.5 36.5 7192237 Q4 HOU Q1
Late over
23–14
2024 · Week 18
IND -3.5 45.5 1433334649 Q4 JAX Q4
Late over
23–26
2024 · Week 18
BUF -3.5 36.5 7243339 Q4 NE Q1
Late over
16–23
2024 · Week 18
TB -14.5 44.5 6223246 Q4 NO Q1
Late over
19–27
2024 · Week 18
BAL -20.5 41.5 7172445 Q4 BAL Q4
Late cover flip Late over
10–35
2024 · Week 17
WSH -3.5 46.5 1424314854 Q4 WSH OT
Late over
24–30
2024 · Week 17
GB -0.5 48.5 3163752 Q4 MIN Q2
Late over
25–27
2024 · Week 17
BUF -10.5 44.5 7123354 Q4 BUF Q2 14–40
2024 · Week 17
LAC -5.5 41.5 7273747 Q4 LAC Q1 40–7
2024 · Week 16
TB -4.5 47.5 10374350 Q4 DAL Q1
Late over
24–26
2024 · Week 16
SF -1.5 44.5 3232946 Q4 MIA Q1
Late over
17–29
2024 · Week 16
MIN -2.5 43.5 7313751 Q4 MIN Q1
Late over
27–24
2024 · Week 16
PHI -4.5 47.5 28354169 Q4 WSH Q4 33–36
2024 · Week 16
ARI -5.5 47.5 737436066 Q4 CAR Q1 30–36
2024 · Week 16
BAL -7.5 45.5 7274151 Q4 BAL Q4 17–34
2024 · Week 16
KC -3.5 42.5 10274046 Q4 KC Q1 19–27
2024 · Week 15
DEN -3.5 43.5 7202344 Q4 DEN Q4 13–31
2024 · Week 15
ARI -5.5 46.5 10161947 Q4 ARI Q1
Late over
17–30
2024 · Week 15
CIN -6.5 46.5 21384564 Q4 CIN Q2 37–27
2024 · Week 15
BAL -16.5 43.5 7283549 Q4 BAL Q3 35–14
2024 · Week 15
CAR -2.5 41.5 0173144 Q4 DAL Q1 30–14
2024 · Week 15
NYJ -3.5 41.5 14203357 Q4 NYJ Q4
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
32–25
2024 · Week 14
SF -3.5 43.5 14243051 Q4 SF Q1 13–38
2024 · Week 14
ARI -3.5 45.5 24344548 Q4 SEA Q1
Late over
30–18
2024 · Week 14
MIA -6.5 45.5 928385258 Q4 NYJ Q1 26–32
2024 · Week 14
MIN -5.5 46.5 14244263 Q4 MIN Q4 21–42
2024 · Week 14
DET -3.5 53.5 7244565 Q4 GB Q3 31–34
2024 · Week 13
BUF -6.5 44.5 10243845 Q4 BUF Q2 10–35
2024 · Week 13
IND -2.5 41.5 13303349 Q4 NE Q1
Late over Lead lost
25–24
2024 · Week 13
NYJ -1.5 41.5 14373747 Q4 SEA Q4 26–21
2024 · Week 13
WSH -5.5 45.5 21354161 Q4 WSH Q1 19–42
2024 · Week 13
DAL -4.5 39.5 10233747 Q4 DAL Q3 20–27
2024 · Week 12
BAL -2.5 50.5 7273353 Q4 BAL Q4
Late over
30–23
2024 · Week 12
PHI -2.5 47.5 10204157 Q4 PHI Q2
Late over
37–20
2024 · Week 12
GB -6.5 44.5 10243448 Q4 GB Q1
Late over
10–38
2024 · Week 12
DEN -5.5 41.5 3222948 Q4 DEN Q4 29–19
2024 · Week 12
MIN -2.5 39.5 724345457 Q4 MIN OT 30–27
2024 · Week 12
MIA -7.5 45.5 0243149 Q4 MIA Q2 15–34
2024 · Week 12
WSH -10.5 44.5 361960 Q4 DAL Q1
Late over
34–26
2024 · Week 12
PIT -3.5 36.5 0131643 Q4 CLE Q1
Lead lost
19–24
2024 · Week 11
HOU -7.5 41.5 14273044 Q4 HOU Q3
Late over
34–10
2024 · Week 11
LAC -0.5 48.5 10304761 Q4 LAC Q1
Late cover flip
27–34
2024 · Week 11
BUF -2.5 47.5 6303051 Q4 BUF Q4
Late cover flip Late over
21–30
2024 · Week 11
MIA -8.5 43.5 10162953 Q4 MIA Q4
Late over
19–34
2024 · Week 11
LAR -4.5 42.5 7244150 Q4 LAR Q3 28–22
2024 · Week 11
CLE -1.5 43.5 13202849 Q4 NO Q1
Late over
14–35
2024 · Week 11
NYJ -4.5 43.5 3203355 Q4 IND Q1
Lead lost
28–27
2024 · Week 10
LAC -8.5 40.5 10203044 Q4 LAC Q3
Late over
17–27
2024 · Week 10
BUF -4.5 46.5 13333350 Q4 BUF Q1
Late over
30–20
2024 · Week 10
BAL -5.5 52.5 7213569 Q4 CIN Q1 34–35
2024 · Week 9
KC -8.5 45.5 317274854 Q4 TB Q1
Late over
24–30
2024 · Week 9
PHI -7.5 46.5 7163851 Q4 JAX Q3
Late cover flip Late over
23–28
2024 · Week 9
BUF -6.5 49.5 6163357 Q4 MIA Q4
Late cover flip Late over
27–30
2024 · Week 9
CIN -7.5 44.5 14274165 Q4 CIN Q3 24–41
2024 · Week 9
WSH -3.5 42.5 7283449 Q4 WSH Q1
Late over
27–22
2024 · Week 9
NO -7.5 43.5 6233345 Q4 CAR Q1
Late over Lead lost
22–23
2024 · Week 8
PIT -6.5 37.5 9182544 Q4 PIT Q3 18–26
2024 · Week 8
SF -5.5 47.5 3163754 Q4 SF Q3
Late over
24–30
2024 · Week 8
DEN -12.5 40.5 7283542 Q4 DEN Q2
Late over
14–28
2024 · Week 8
KC -8.5 42.5 14273047 Q4 LV Q1
Late over
27–20
2024 · Week 8
CIN -2.5 47.5 7204154 Q4 PHI Q2
Late over
37–17
2024 · Week 8
BAL -7.5 44.5 3163753 Q4 CLE Q1
Late over
24–29
2024 · Week 8
MIA -4.5 46.5 10203855 Q4 ARI Q3
Lead lost
28–27
2024 · Week 8
NYJ -7.5 41.5 13203047 Q4 NE Q1
Late over
22–25
2024 · Week 8
GB -3.5 49.5 0233757 Q4 JAX Q1
Late cover flip Late over
30–27
2024 · Week 8
MIN -2.5 46.5 21283850 Q4 LAR Q2 20–30
2024 · Week 7
BAL -4.5 50.5 10274472 Q4 BAL Q2 41–31
2024 · Week 7
NYJ -2.5 40.5 10283852 Q4 PIT Q2 15–37
2024 · Week 7
BUF -9.5 41.5 3172744 Q4 BUF Q4
Late over
10–34
2024 · Week 7
MIN -1.5 50.5 10314560 Q4 DET Q2
Lead lost
31–29
2024 · Week 7
JAX -6.5 41.5 7323548 Q4 JAX Q2
Late over
16–32
2024 · Week 7
DEN -2.5 37.5 3192943 Q4 DEN Q1
Late over
33–10
2024 · Week 6
BUF -1.5 42.5 17374043 Q4 BUF Q4
Late cover flip Late over
23–20
2024 · Week 6
DET -3.5 52.5 10334656 Q4 DET Q1 47–9
2024 · Week 6
LAC -2.5 37.5 10202339 Q4 LAC Q1
Late over
23–16
2024 · Week 6
PIT -3.5 36.5 10192945 Q4 PIT Q2
Late over
32–13
2024 · Week 6
GB -6.5 46.5 7344447 Q4 GB Q1 13–34
2024 · Week 6
BAL -7.5 50.5 6274053 Q4 WSH Q4
Late cover flip Late over
23–30
2024 · Week 6
JAX -1.5 44.5 3173151 Q4 CHI Q2 16–35
2024 · Week 6
SF -3.5 48.5 3194060 Q4 SF Q2
Late over
36–24
2024 · Week 5
SEA -7.5 41.5 7203349 Q4 NYG Q1
Late over
29–20
2024 · Week 5
DEN -2.5 35.5 10233052 Q4 DEN Q2 18–34
2024 · Week 5
BAL -2.5 47.5 731457679 Q4 BAL OT
Late cover flip Lead lost
41–38
2024 · Week 5
WSH -3.5 43.5 7274047 Q4 WSH Q1 13–34
2024 · Week 5
JAX -3.5 44.5 7233071 Q4 IND Q4
Late cover flip
34–37
2024 · Week 4
MIA -2.5 37.5 0122543 Q4 TEN Q1
Late over
31–12
2024 · Week 4
ARI -3.5 48.5 14244156 Q4 WSH Q1 42–14
2024 · Week 4
SF -10.5 41.5 6233743 Q4 SF Q2
Late over
13–30
2024 · Week 4
ATL -2.5 42.5 14313750 Q4 NO Q4
Late cover flip Late over
24–26
2024 · Week 4
CHI -3.5 40.5 3162642 Q4 CHI Q2 18–24
2024 · Week 4
GB -2.5 44.5 14353560 Q4 MIN Q1 31–29
2024 · Week 4
PIT -2.5 40.5 14202751 Q4 IND Q1 24–27
2024 · Week 3
BAL -1.5 47.5 17273453 Q4 BAL Q1
Late over
28–25
2024 · Week 3
SF -6.5 44.5 14213551 Q4 LAR Q4
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
24–27
2024 · Week 3
LV -5.5 40.5 14283458 Q4 CAR Q1 36–22
2024 · Week 2
KC -6.5 47.5 6263951 Q4 CIN Q1
Lead lost
25–26
2024 · Week 2
ARI -1.5 47.5 14274451 Q4 ARI Q1 10–41
2024 · Week 2
SEA -3.5 39.5 1430304043 Q4 NE Q4
Late over Lead lost
23–20
2024 · Week 2
BAL -8.5 42.5 3152949 Q4 LV Q1
Late over Lead lost
26–23
2024 · Week 1
SF -3.5 43.5 10233951 Q4 SF Q2
Late over
19–32
2024 · Week 1
CLE -2 42.5 10234050 Q4 DAL Q1 33–17
2024 · Week 1
TB -3.5 41.5 6233757 Q4 TB Q1 20–37
2024 · Week 1
SEA -6.5 42.5 6223246 Q4 DEN Q1
Late cover flip Late over
20–26
2024 · Week 1
BUF -6.5 45.5 7274162 Q4 ARI Q4 28–34
2024 · Week 1
HOU -3.5 48.5 13192856 Q4 IND Q3
Late over
29–27
2024 · Week 1
KC -2.5 45.5 14233047 Q4 KC Q2
Late over
20–27
2023 · Postseason
SF -7.5 53.5 14314865 Q4 DET Q1
Late over
31–34
2023 · Postseason
BUF -2.5 46 6304451 Q4 KC Q4 27–24
2023 · Postseason
DET -6 50 6203454 Q4 DET Q4
Late over
23–31
2023 · Postseason
BUF -10 39.5 14283448 Q4 BUF Q1 17–31
2023 · Week 18
LV -3 37.5 7242441 Q4 LV Q1 14–27
2023 · Week 18
SF -5.5 40 14273341 Q4 LAR Q4
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
21–20
2023 · Week 18
DAL -13 47 7314548 Q4 DAL Q3
Late over
38–10
2023 · Week 18
CIN -7 37 14243145 Q4 CIN Q1 14–31
2023 · Week 18
DET -3.5 47.5 13193350 Q4 DET Q1 20–30
2023 · Week 18
JAX -3.5 41 10344148 Q4 TEN Q1 20–28
2023 · Week 17
GB -1 42.5 10263343 Q4 GB Q1 33–10
2023 · Week 17
CHI -2.5 39.5 7283754 Q4 CHI Q1 17–37
2023 · Week 17
IND -3.5 42.5 10172743 Q4 LV Q4
Late cover flip Late over
20–23
2023 · Week 17
LAR -6 43.5 7243651 Q4 NYG Q2
Late cover flip
26–25
2023 · Week 17
PHI -12.5 48 10274266 Q4 ARI Q3 35–31
2023 · Week 16
SF -6.5 47 8284552 Q4 BAL Q1 33–19
2023 · Week 16
PHI -14 41 10233858 Q4 NYG Q3 25–33
2023 · Week 16
DEN -7 37.5 7103049 Q4 NE Q2 26–23
2023 · Week 16
CHI -4.5 42 7283443 Q4 CHI Q1
Late over
16–27
2023 · Week 16
DET -2.5 48 14314454 Q4 DET Q4 30–24
2023 · Week 16
GB -3.5 39.5 10333963 Q4 CAR Q4
Late cover flip
33–30
2023 · Week 16
CLE -3 40 7293558 Q4 CLE Q1 36–22
2023 · Week 16
BUF -13 44 3243446 Q4 LAC Q1
Late over Lead lost
24–22
2023 · Week 16
LAR -4 45.5 7243452 Q4 LAR Q1
Late over
22–30
2023 · Week 15
KC -10 39.5 7243744 Q4 Push 27–17
2023 · Week 15
DET -5.5 49 0213859 Q4 DET Q2 17–42
2023 · Week 15
IND -1 41.5 6273743 Q4 IND Q3
Late over
13–30
2023 · Week 15
CIN -3 41.5 1010204851 Q4 Push
Late cover flip Late over
24–27
2023 · Week 14
MIA -13.5 44.5 7172355 Q4 TEN Q1
Late over Lead lost
28–27
2023 · Week 14
GB -5.5 37 7173446 Q4 NYG Q2
Late over
22–24
2023 · Week 14
ATL -1.5 41.5 6222954 Q4 TB Q1
Late over
29–25
2023 · Week 14
CIN -3 45 7284248 Q4 CIN Q3
Late over
14–34
2023 · Week 14
CLE -2.5 37.5 7213558 Q4 CLE Q1 27–31
2023 · Week 14
HOU -3 33.5 002036 Q4 NYJ Q1
Late over
6–30
2023 · Week 14
BAL -7.5 42 1037426268 Q4 LAR Q1 31–37
2023 · Week 13
KC -6 44 10203346 Q4 GB Q1
Late over
19–27
2023 · Week 13
LAR -3.5 39.5 17233355 Q4 LAR Q3
Late cover flip Late over
19–36
2023 · Week 13
SF -3 46.5 6204161 Q4 SF Q2 42–19
2023 · Week 13
TB -3.5 37 7102439 Q4 CAR Q4 18–21
2023 · Week 13
IND -1 42 1730415059 Q4 IND OT
Late cover flip
31–28
2023 · Week 13
DET -4 48 21314861 Q4 DET Q1 33–28
2023 · Week 12
KC -9 42.5 7283848 Q4 KC Q4 31–17
2023 · Week 12
PHI -2.5 48.5 724386271 Q4 PHI OT 34–37
2023 · Week 12
DEN -2 37.5 7202941 Q4 DEN Q1
Late over
12–29
2023 · Week 12
LAR -3 45 15293251 Q4 LAR Q2 37–14
2023 · Week 12
IND -2.5 44.5 13273047 Q4 IND Q1
Late over
20–27
2023 · Week 12
MIA -8.5 40 3232647 Q4 MIA Q2
Late over
34–13
2023 · Week 12
SF -7 43 10273744 Q4 SF Q2 31–13
2023 · Week 12
DAL -13 48 7303055 Q4 DAL Q4
Late over
10–45
2023 · Week 12
DET -8.5 47 26294351 Q4 GB Q1
Late over
29–22
2023 · Week 11
DET -8 48 7243457 Q4 CHI Q1
Late over Lead lost
26–31
2023 · Week 11
WSH -7.5 39 10232650 Q4 NYG Q1
Late over
31–19
2023 · Week 11
JAX -6.5 40 7133448 Q4 JAX Q1 14–34
2023 · Week 11
BAL -3.5 46.5 10314054 Q4 BAL Q1
Late over
20–34
2023 · Week 10
SEA -6 44 9182855 Q4 WSH Q1
Late over
26–29
2023 · Week 10
ATL -2 43.5 3263948 Q4 ARI Q3
Late over
23–25
2023 · Week 10
CIN -5.5 45.5 7173757 Q4 HOU Q2
Late over
30–27
2023 · Week 10
NO -3 41 6273846 Q4 MIN Q1 19–27
2023 · Week 9
PHI -3.5 46.5 14314551 Q4 PHI Q3 23–28
2023 · Week 8
BAL -9.5 45 14212855 Q4 ARI Q4
Late over
31–24
2023 · Week 8
SF -4.5 44 21242748 Q4 CIN Q1
Late over
31–17
2023 · Week 8
SEA -4 38.5 24313744 Q4 Push
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
20–24
2023 · Week 8
ATL -2.5 35 10173051 Q4 TEN Q1 23–28
2023 · Week 8
MIA -7.5 46.5 14243448 Q4 MIA Q2
Late cover flip Late over
17–31
2023 · Week 8
PHI -7 42.5 10273469 Q4 Push 38–31
2023 · Week 7
KC -5.5 47.5 6414148 Q4 KC Q2
Late over
17–31
2023 · Week 7
LV -1.5 37.5 7172442 Q4 CHI Q1
Late over
12–30
2023 · Week 7
BUF -7.5 39.5 10162654 Q4 NE Q1
Late over
25–29
2023 · Week 7
BAL -3.5 43.5 14283544 Q4 BAL Q1 6–38
2023 · Week 7
NO -1.5 40.5 10233355 Q4 JAX Q1 31–24
2023 · Week 6
SF -9.5 35.5 7172336 Q4 CLE Q1
Late over Lead lost
17–19
2023 · Week 6
MIA -13.5 46.5 14354263 Q4 MIA Q3 21–42
2023 · Week 6
JAX -3.5 43.5 3273757 Q4 JAX Q2 20–37
2023 · Week 5
WSH -6 45 10304160 Q4 CHI Q1 40–20
2023 · Week 4
PHI -8.5 44.5 1427386265 Q4 WSH Q1 31–34

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 49% 431
Q2 17% 152
Q3 11% 97
Q4 19% 168
OT 2% 15
Push 1% 11
The team leading at halftime won 77% and covered 71% of 816 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 76% of 833 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over111100% 111
1–34495% 42
4–710287% 89
8–1010164% 65
11–1411760% 70
15–1710833% 36
18–2112119% 23
22+1708% 14
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.