Browns @ Ravens: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 18, 2024)

Sat, Jan 4, 2025, 4:30 PM ESTWeek 18 · at Baltimore Ravens · Division game

Weather at kickoff28°F11 mphgusts 36DryWindy Over 46% of 93 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Cleveland Browns

3-13 · Power #28

final

Final

Baltimore Ravens

11-5 · Power #1

▲ winner

Closing spread

BAL -20.5

✓ BAL W

Total

41.5

▲ Over · 45 pts

Model before kickoff

CLE 13–33 BAL

✓ BAL (97%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenBAL -18.5

CloseBAL -20.5

Total42.5 → 41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CLE LLLLL	4-12	25%	2-6	4-8
BAL WLWWW	9-7	56%	3-4	9-6

Venue/role: CLE away, as underdog; BAL home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CLE OUUUU	6-10	38%	3-13
BAL OUOOU	12-4	75%	11-5

Went over in Q4. Of 114 earlier overs in games with totals 38.5–44.5, 21% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CLE	2-8 20%	2-8 20%	4-6 40%
BAL	7-3 70%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

CLE 16–39 BAL BAL leads · 55 games since 1999 · CLE has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 27 2024	Baltimore Ravens 24 @ Cleveland Browns 29	BAL -7.5	CLE W
Nov 12 2023	Cleveland Browns 33 @ Baltimore Ravens 31	BAL -6	CLE W
Oct 1 2023	Baltimore Ravens 28 @ Cleveland Browns 3	—	—

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CLE+1.1 →−3.8▼ 4.9#28

BAL+3.1 →+6.7▲ 3.6#1

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW17

CLE

Longer bar = better

BAL

#32

Offense

BAL better ▶

#16

Defense

BAL better ▶

−1.3 #32

Turnovers

BAL better ▶

+0.3 #14

66 plays #1

Pace

◀ CLE faster

62 plays #17

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CLE has the ball

Advantage: BAL defense

	CLE off	BAL def	Edge
Points / game	15.5 #32	21.9 #13	BAL
Yards / play	4.59 #31	5.24 #10	BAL
EPA / play	−0.17 #32	−0.03 #9	BAL
Success rate	38% #32	40% #2	BAL

When BAL has the ball

Advantage: BAL offense

	BAL off	CLE def	Edge
Points / game	30.2 #3	25.0 #24	BAL
Yards / play	6.87 #1	5.53 #19	BAL
EPA / play	+0.22 #1	+0.01 #16	BAL
Success rate	50% #1	41% #5	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

CLE scoring against the BAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLE scored	3.1 #26	3.4 #32	6.5 #32	3.5 #27	5.5 #25	9.0 #26
BAL allowed	2.9 #4	6.5 #13	9.4 #6	4.3 #9	8.3 #28	12.6 #23

BAL scoring against the CLE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BAL scored	5.1 #12	9.8 #2	14.9 #3	7.3 #3	7.8 #7	15.1 #2
CLE allowed	4.3 #16	9.0 #30	13.3 #28	6.4 #28	5.3 #11	11.7 #19

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.