Giants @ Eagles: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 18, 2024)

Sun, Jan 5, 2025, 1:00 PM ESTWeek 18 · at Philadelphia Eagles · Division game

Weather at kickoff31°F12 mphgusts 28DryWindy Over 46% of 93 games since 2023Weather watch ›

New York Giants

3-13 · Power #31

final

Final

Philadelphia Eagles

13-3 · Power #2

▲ winner

Closing spread

PHI -2.5

✓ PHI W

Total

35.5

▼ Under · 33 pts

Model before kickoff

NYG 18–22 PHI

✓ PHI (64%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenPHI -3.5

ClosePHI -2.5

Total38.5 → 35.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

OpenPHI -3.5

1 → NYG

ClosePHI -2.5

1 pt toward New York Giants

Total

Open38.5

▼ 3

Close35.5

Down 3 since the open

Line movement

Opening and closing line · tap a dot

Opened PHI -3.5 · closed PHI -2.5 · moved 1 toward NYGmodel PHI -16

model PHI -16

Openline modelKickoff

Line context

Home favorites of 1.5–3.5 since 2023: won 66%, covered 53% (129 games)ⓘ

Crossed 3Lines that moved 1–1.5 pts toward the underdog: that team covered 37% (35 games since 2024)ⓘ

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

OpenPHI -3.5

ClosePHI -2.5

Total38.5 → 35.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 1 games most like PHI as a 2.5-point home favorite against NYG, the favorite won 1, covered 1, and 0 went over the total.

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This game: PHI won 20–13; the favorite covered, as in 1 of the 1 similar games. 33 points stayed under 35.5, as in 1 of 1.

Favorite won

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 60%

Favorite covered

1 of 1100%

Normal range · usually 50%

Went over

0 of 10%

Normal range · usually 45%

Only 1 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 3 against an average line of 2.5; 23 points a game (usually 44.2). When games like this go over ›

All 1 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Loose	CLE vs PIT 2023 · Week 11 · loose · similar situation & rest	-2.5	13–10	W	U34

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2021 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NYG LWLLW	5-11	31%	2-4	5-9
PHI WLWLW	10-6	63%	3-4	7-6

Venue/role: NYG away, as underdog; PHI home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NYG OUOUO	6-10	38%	3-13
PHI UUUOO	7-9	44%	13-3

Stayed under: it needed 23 in the 4th quarter and got 20. 44% of games with totals 32.5–38.5 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NYG	1-9 10%	2-8 20%	5-5 50%
PHI	9-1 90%	7-3 70%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 3 since 2023

NYG 20–38 PHI PHI leads · 58 games since 1999 · PHI has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Oct 20 2024	Philadelphia Eagles 28 @ New York Giants 3	PHI -3.5	PHI W
Jan 7 2023	Philadelphia Eagles 10 @ New York Giants 27	PHI -5	NYG W
Dec 25 2023	New York Giants 25 @ Philadelphia Eagles 33	PHI -14	NYG W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NYG−2.2 →−5.3▼ 3.1#31

PHI−0.1 →+5.5▲ 5.6#3

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW17

NYG

Longer bar = better

PHI

#29

Offense

PHI better ▶

#10

#26

Defense

PHI better ▶

−0.5 #27

Turnovers

PHI better ▶

+0.6 #6

63 plays #14

Pace

PHI faster ▶

66 plays #4

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NYG has the ball

Advantage: PHI defense

	NYG off	PHI def	Edge
Points / game	16.1 #31	17.8 #2	PHI
Yards / play	4.71 #30	4.74 #1	PHI
EPA / play	−0.11 #28	−0.10 #2	PHI
Success rate	41% #25	39% #2	PHI

When PHI has the ball

Advantage: PHI offense

	PHI off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	27.2 #7	24.4 #22	PHI
Yards / play	5.60 #12	5.61 #25	PHI
EPA / play	+0.11 #6	+0.06 #28	PHI
Success rate	45% #13	46% #28	PHI

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

NYG scoring against the PHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	2.3 #30	5.4 #26	7.6 #30	2.5 #29	6.1 #19	8.6 #30
PHI allowed	4.8 #22	4.7 #1	9.4 #7	3.8 #5	4.9 #5	8.7 #3

PHI scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PHI scored	3.4 #23	9.1 #3	12.6 #13	6.6 #5	8.5 #3	15.1 #3
NYG allowed	5.3 #26	7.8 #22	13.1 #27	6.8 #32	4.6 #3	11.4 #16

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.