Eagles @ Giants: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 18, 2023)

Sun, Jan 7, 2024, 4:25 PM ESTWeek 18 · at New York Giants · Division game

Weather at kickoff36°F7 mphgusts 13Wet0.0 mmWet Over 51% of 104 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Philadelphia Eagles

11-5 · Power #16

final

Final

New York Giants

5-11 · Power #30

▲ winner

Closing spread

PHI -5

✓ NYG W

Total

▼ Under · 37 pts

Model before kickoff

PHI 27–21 NYG

✗ PHI (69%) lost

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

ClosePHI -5

Total43

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

ClosePHI -5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close43

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

ClosePHI -5

Total43

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like PHI as a 5-point road favorite at NYG, the favorite won 8, covered 7, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: NYG won 27–10 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 3 of the 10 similar games. 37 points stayed under 43, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 62%

Favorite covered

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 45%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 47%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 11.7 against an average line of 5.3; 39.9 points a game (usually 46.4). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	LAR @ NYG 2023 · Week 17 · very close · similar total & team ratings	-6	26–25	L	O43.5
Very close	JAX @ HOU 2022 · Week 17 · very close · similar total & spread	-4.5	31–3	W	U43.5
Very close	PHI @ NYJ 2021 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & total	-5.5	33–18	W	O43.5
Very close	GB @ CHI 2021 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & total	-6	24–14	W	U44
Very close	NO @ NYJ 2021 · Week 14 · very close · similar total & situation	-6	30–9	W	U42
Very close	CLE @ HOU 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & team ratings	-6	27–14	W	U46
Very close	CIN @ NYJ 2022 · Week 3 · very close · similar rest & spread	-4.5	27–12	W	U45.5
Very close	GB @ WSH 2022 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & total	-5.5	21–23	L	O41.5
Very close	LAC @ IND 2022 · Week 16 · very close · similar spread & total	-4.5	20–3	W	U44.5
Very close	BAL @ PIT 2021 · Week 13 · very close · similar rest & situation	-4	19–20	L	U44

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PHI LLLLL	4-7-1	36%	1-3-1	3-5-1
NYG WWLWW	7-3-1	70%	4-0-1	7-3-1

Venue/role: PHI away, as favorite; NYG home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
PHI OUUOO	7-5	58%	11-5
NYG UOUOO	5-6	45%	5-11

Stayed under: it needed 17 in the 4th quarter and got 10. 45% of games with totals 40–46 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PHI	6-4 60%	4-5-1 44%	6-4 60%
NYG	4-6 40%	6-3-1 67%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 1 since 2023

PHI 38–20 NYG PHI leads · 58 games since 1999 · PHI has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Dec 25 2023	New York Giants 25 @ Philadelphia Eagles 33	PHI -14	NYG W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

PHI0.0 →+1.2▲ 1.2#9

NYG−9.1 →−5.0▲ 4.1#31

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW17

PHI

Longer bar = better

NYG

Offense

◀ PHI better

#31

#26

Defense

Even

#27

−0.4 #25

Turnovers

NYG better ▶

+0.6 #6

65 plays #7

Pace

◀ PHI faster

62 plays #22

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When PHI has the ball

Advantage: PHI offense

	PHI off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	26.4 #7	24.8 #28	PHI
Yards / play	5.47 #11	5.70 #29	PHI
EPA / play	+0.08 #5	0.00 #22	PHI
Success rate	46% #7	45% #30	PHI

When NYG has the ball

Even matchup

	NYG off	PHI def	Edge
Points / game	14.9 #30	25.1 #29	Even
Yards / play	4.38 #30	5.43 #24	PHI
EPA / play	−0.19 #31	+0.05 #29	Even
Success rate	37% #31	44% #23	PHI

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

PHI scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PHI scored	6.1 #6	6.5 #18	12.6 #9	6.3 #3	7.1 #8	13.3 #2
NYG allowed	5.8 #28	7.6 #22	13.3 #29	5.8 #28	5.6 #11	11.3 #20

NYG scoring against the PHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	1.4 #32	4.2 #31	5.6 #32	4.5 #15	4.9 #26	9.4 #24
PHI allowed	3.4 #5	8.6 #28	12.0 #22	4.9 #21	8.0 #30	12.9 #28

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.