Giants @ Eagles: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 16, 2023)

Mon, Dec 25, 2023, 4:30 PM ESTWeek 16 · at Philadelphia Eagles · Division game

Weather at kickoff48°F3 mphDryWeather watch ›

New York Giants

5-9 · Power #30

final

Final

Philadelphia Eagles

10-4 · Power #16

▲ winner

Closing spread

PHI -14

✓ NYG W

Total

▲ Over · 58 pts

Model before kickoff

NYG 17–31 PHI

✓ PHI (90%) won

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

Opennot available

ClosePHI -14

Total41

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

ClosePHI -14

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close41

Closing line · DraftKings

SourceDraftKings closing line

Opennot available

ClosePHI -14

Total41

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like PHI as a 14-point home favorite against NYG, the favorite won 9, covered 5, and 4 went over the total.

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This game: PHI won 33–25; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 58 points went over 41, as in 4 of 10.

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 86%

Favorite covered

5 of 956%

Normal range · usually 41%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 44%

Only 10 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 15.1 against an average line of 13.6; 38.1 points a game (usually 43.1). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	CLE vs DET 2021 · Week 11 · very close · similar rest & total	-13	13–10	L	U42
Close	DEN vs DET 2021 · Week 14 · close · similar rest & total	-12.5	38–10	W	O42
Close	BAL vs CAR 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar total & team ratings	-12.5	13–3	L	U41.5
Close	SF vs HOU 2021 · Week 17 · close · similar spread & season form	-13.5	23–7	W	U44.5
Close	SF vs ARI 2022 · Week 18 · close · similar spread & total	-14	38–13	W	O40.5
Close	MIA vs LV 2023 · Week 11 · close · similar spread & situation	-13.5	20–13	L	U44
Close	MIA vs TEN 2023 · Week 14 · close · similar rest & spread	-13.5	27–28	L	O44.5
Close	LAR vs JAX 2021 · Week 13 · close · similar rest & team ratings	-13	37–7	W	U47.5
Loose	BUF vs CAR 2021 · Week 15 · loose · similar rest & spread	-14.5	31–14	W	O43
Loose	KC vs LAR 2022 · Week 12 · loose · similar rest & total	-16	26–10	P	U42

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NYG LWWWL	5-3-1	63%	2-3	5-3-1
PHI WWLLL	4-5-1	44%	3-2	3-3-1

Venue/role: NYG away, as underdog; PHI home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NYG OOUOU	3-6	33%	5-9
PHI UOOUU	5-5	50%	10-4

Went over in Q4. Of 36 earlier overs in games with totals 38–44, 25% had cashed by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NYG	4-6 40%	5-3-1 63%	3-6 33%
PHI	6-4 60%	4-4-1 50%	4-5 44%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

NYG 20–38 PHI PHI leads · 58 games since 1999 · PHI has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NYG−9.1 →−5.3▲ 3.8#32

PHI0.0 →+2.1▲ 2.1#9

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW15

NYG

Longer bar = better

PHI

#31

Offense

PHI better ▶

#25

Defense

Even

#24

+0.4 #7

Turnovers

◀ NYG better

−0.4 #26

62 plays #22

Pace

PHI faster ▶

66 plays #4

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NYG has the ball

Advantage: PHI defense

	NYG off	PHI def	Edge
Points / game	13.5 #31	24.4 #26	PHI
Yards / play	4.24 #31	5.39 #21	PHI
EPA / play	−0.21 #31	+0.04 #29	Even
Success rate	37% #31	44% #21	PHI

When PHI has the ball

Advantage: PHI offense

	PHI off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	25.6 #7	24.1 #25	PHI
Yards / play	5.38 #12	5.60 #27	PHI
EPA / play	+0.06 #6	−0.01 #22	PHI
Success rate	45% #7	44% #24	PHI

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

NYG scoring against the PHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	1.4 #32	4.1 #32	5.4 #32	3.6 #22	4.4 #27	8.1 #26
PHI allowed	3.4 #8	9.6 #31	13.1 #27	3.4 #8	7.6 #28	11.1 #20

PHI scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PHI scored	5.9 #6	5.5 #22	11.4 #13	7.1 #1	6.4 #16	13.6 #3
NYG allowed	5.6 #29	7.2 #22	12.8 #26	6.1 #28	5.0 #7	11.1 #21

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.