Eagles @ Seahawks: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 15, 2023)

Mon, Dec 18, 2023, 8:15 PM ESTWeek 15 · at Seattle Seahawks

Weather at kickoff47°F3 mphWet0.0 mmWet Over 51% of 104 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Philadelphia Eagles

10-3 · Power #16

final

Final

Seattle Seahawks

6-7 · Power #20

▲ winner

Closing spread

PHI -5

✓ SEA W

Total

▼ Under · 37 pts

Model before kickoff

PHI 29–24 SEA

✗ PHI (67%) lost

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

ClosePHI -5

Total46

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

ClosePHI -5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close46

Closing line · Caesars Sportsbook

SourceCaesars Sportsbook closing line

Opennot available

ClosePHI -5

Total46

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like PHI as a 5-point road favorite at SEA, the favorite won 8, covered 6, and 3 went over the total.

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This game: SEA won 20–17 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 4 of the 10 similar games. 37 points stayed under 46, as in 7 of 10.

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 62%

Favorite covered

6 of 1060%

Normal range · usually 44%

Went over

3 of 1030%

Normal range · usually 46%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 6.3 against an average line of 4.6; 42.7 points a game (usually 46.6). Of the 1 over, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	BAL @ NYG 2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar total & spread	-5.5	20–24	L	U45.5
Very close	LAC @ IND 2022 · Week 16 · very close · similar rest & spread	-4.5	20–3	W	U44.5
Very close	DAL @ NO 2021 · Week 13 · very close · similar spread & total	-5	27–17	W	U45.5
Very close	BAL @ PIT 2021 · Week 13 · very close · similar season form & rest	-4	19–20	L	U44
Very close	DET @ NO 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar season form & situation	-4	33–28	W	O48
Very close	MIN @ MIA 2022 · Week 6 · very close · similar total & season form	-3.5	24–16	W	U45
Very close	CLE @ NYG 2020 · Week 15 · very close · similar situation & total	-6	20–6	W	U44.5
Very close	MIA @ CHI 2022 · Week 9 · very close · similar total & rest	-4	35–32	L	O46
Very close	GB @ CHI 2022 · Week 13 · very close · similar total & rest	-4	28–19	W	O45.5
Very close	TB @ NE 2021 · Week 4 · very close · similar spread & rest	-5.5	19–17	L	U49

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PHI WWWLL	4-4-1	50%	1-2-1	3-2-1
SEA LWLWW	4-4-1	50%	1-2-1	3-3

Venue/role: PHI away, as favorite; SEA home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
PHI OUOOU	5-4	56%	10-3
SEA OUOOU	4-5	44%	6-7

Stayed under: it needed 20 in the 4th quarter and got 10. 46% of games with totals 43–49 went over.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PHI	7-3 70%	4-4-1 50%	5-4 56%
SEA	4-6 40%	4-4-1 50%	4-5 44%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

PHI 3–10 SEA SEA leads · 13 games since 2001 · SEA has won the last 8 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

PHI0.0 →+2.3▲ 2.3#8

SEA−7.8 →−0.6▲ 7.2#17

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW14

PHI

Longer bar = better

SEA

Offense

◀ PHI better

#13

#26

Defense

Even

#24

−0.3 #21

Turnovers

SEA better ▶

+0.1 #14

66 plays #7

Pace

◀ PHI faster

60 plays #28

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When PHI has the ball

Advantage: PHI offense

	PHI off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	26.3 #7	24.5 #25	PHI
Yards / play	5.44 #11	5.46 #24	PHI
EPA / play	+0.06 #5	+0.01 #25	PHI
Success rate	45% #8	44% #22	PHI

When SEA has the ball

Advantage: SEA offense

	SEA off	PHI def	Edge
Points / game	21.5 #18	24.7 #28	SEA
Yards / play	5.45 #10	5.42 #22	SEA
EPA / play	−0.01 #13	+0.04 #29	SEA
Success rate	44% #11	44% #24	SEA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

PHI scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PHI scored	5.8 #7	5.7 #22	11.5 #12	7.2 #2	6.9 #10	14.1 #2
SEA allowed	4.9 #22	7.8 #25	12.8 #24	4.1 #14	7.6 #28	11.7 #24

SEA scoring against the PHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	6.2 #6	5.0 #25	11.2 #13	5.1 #9	4.8 #25	9.8 #22
PHI allowed	3.7 #9	10.2 #32	13.8 #31	3.2 #5	7.5 #27	10.6 #16

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.