FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 15: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results

Week in numbers

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Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS10-471% covered
Upsets4outright
Over / Under7-944% over
Model Favorite12-475% won
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Thursday, Dec 14

1
Final · Division
21
5-8 · #23
63
Spread
LV -3
✓ LV W ATS
Total
36
▲ Over 84 · Q2
Projected
22–25
✓ LV won
Trend: LV ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: LAC by 6.5 ✗ Model: Over 11 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Saturday, Dec 16

3
Final · Non-conf
7-6 · #15
24
7-6 · #17
27
Spread
CIN -3
Push
Total
41.5
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
22–25
✓ CIN won
Trend: MIN ATS Model: MIN by 0.5 Model: Over 5 ✓
Final · Non-conf
7-6 · #19
13
7-6 · #21
30
Spread
IND -1
✓ IND W ATS
Total
41.5
▲ Over 43 · Q4
Projected
24–25
✓ IND won
Model: IND by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 7.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
7-6 · #25
17
9-4 · #6
42
Spread
DET -5.5
✓ DET W ATS
Total
49
▲ Over 59 · Q4
Projected
24–29
✓ DET won
Model: DET by 1 ✓ Model: Over 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q2

Sunday, Dec 17

11
Final · Non-conf
5-8 · #18
17
8-5 · #8
20
Spread
CLE -2.5
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
38
▼ Under 37
Projected
19–22
✓ CLE won
Trend: CLE ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: CLE by 1 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
34
6-7 · #10
20
Spread
GB -4
✓ TB W ATS
Total
41
▲ Over 54 · Q3
Projected
20–24
✗ GB lost
Model: TB by 1 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
7-6 · #13
19
5-8 · #27
16
Spread
TEN -3
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
38
▼ Under 35
Projected
21–24
✗ TEN lost
Model: TEN by 0 ✗ Model: Over 6.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
5-8 · #26
0
9-4 · #7
30
Spread
MIA -7
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
35.5
▼ Under 30
Projected
19–26
✓ MIA won
Trend: MIA ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: MIA by 5.5 ✓ Model: Over 10 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
8-5 · #5
27
3-10 · #29
17
Spread
KC -10
Push
Total
39.5
▲ Over 44 · Q4
Projected
25–15
✓ KC won
Trend: KC ATS Model: NE by 1 Model: Over 1 ✓
Final · Non-conf
5-8 · #30
6
6-7 · #11
24
Spread
NO -6
✓ NO W ATS
Total
39.5
▼ Under 30
Projected
20–26
✓ NO won
Trend: NYG ATS ✗ Model: NO by 2 ✓ Model: Over 6.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Division
6-7 · #24
7
1-12 · #31
9
Spread
ATL -2.5
✓ CAR W ATS
Total
32.5
▼ Under 16
Projected
21–18
✗ ATL lost
Trend: CAR ATS ✓Trend: Under ✓ Model: ATL by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 7 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
20
6-7 · #9
28
Spread
LAR -6.5
✓ LAR W ATS
Total
48.5
▼ Under 48
Projected
22–29
✓ LAR won
Trend: WSH ATS ✗ Model: LAR by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Division
10-3 · #1
45
3-10 · #28
29
Spread
SF -12
✓ SF W ATS
Total
48
▲ Over 74 · Q3
Projected
31–19
✓ SF won
Model: SF by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
10-3 · #3
10
7-6 · #4
31
Spread
BUF -2.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
49
▼ Under 41
Projected
26–28
✓ BUF won
Trend: DAL ATS ✗ Model: DAL by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
10-3 · #2
23
7
Spread
BAL -4
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
42.5
▼ Under 30
Projected
25–21
✓ BAL won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: JAX by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 3.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Monday, Dec 18

1
Final · Non-conf
10-3 · #16
17
6-7 · #20
20
Spread
PHI -5
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
46
▼ Under 37
Projected
29–24
✗ PHI lost
Trend: PHI ATS ✗ Model: SEA by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 6 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total