FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 8: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results

Week in numbers

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Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS6-650% covered
Upsets4outright
Over / Under8-850% over
Model Favorite12-475% won
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Thursday, Oct 26

1
Final · Non-conf
18
4-3 · #4
24
Spread
BUF -10
✓ TB W ATS
Total
43
▼ Under 42
Projected
17–27
✓ BUF won
Model: TB by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 2 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Sunday, Oct 29

14
Final · Non-conf
3-4 · #9
20
4-2 · #3
43
Spread
DAL -7
✓ DAL W ATS
Total
44.5
▲ Over 63 · Q3
Projected
22–29
✓ DAL won
Model: LAR by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 7 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
3-4 · #15
24
2-4 · #10
10
Spread
Pick’em
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
41.5
▼ Under 34
Projected
25–25
✓ MIN won
Model: Over 8 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
4-3 · #24
23
2-4 · #27
28
Spread
ATL -2.5
✓ TEN W ATS
Total
35
▲ Over 51 · Q4
Projected
22–20
✗ ATL lost
Model: Over 7.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
3-4 · #11
38
3-4 · #21
27
Spread
NO -2
✓ NO W ATS
Total
44
▲ Over 65 · Q3
Projected
29–27
✓ NO won
Model: IND by 2 ✗ Model: Over 11 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Division
17
5-2 · #7
31
Spread
MIA -7.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
46.5
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
21–29
✓ MIA won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: MIA by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
3-3 · #26
13
2-5 · #30
10
Spread
NYJ -3
Push
Total
34.5
▼ Under 23
Projected
24–21
✓ NYJ won
Model: NYG by 3.5 Model: Over 10 ✗
Final · Non-conf
20
4-2 · #19
10
Spread
JAX -2.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
41
▼ Under 30
Projected
24–22
✓ JAX won
Model: PIT by 0 ✗ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
6-1 · #16
38
31
Spread
PHI -7
Push
Total
42.5
▲ Over 69 · Q4
Projected
29–22
✓ PHI won
Model: PHI by 1.5 Model: Over 7.5 ✓
Final · Non-conf
3-3 · #13
13
0-6 · #31
15
Spread
HOU -3.5
✓ CAR W ATS
Total
43
▼ Under 28
Projected
26–22
✗ HOU lost
Model: HOU by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
4-2 · #8
20
4-2 · #20
24
Spread
SEA -4
Push
Total
38.5
▲ Over 44 · Q4
Projected
21–25
✓ SEA won
Trend: CLE ATS Model: CLE by 6 Model: Over 7.5 ✓
Final · Division
6-1 · #5
9
2-5 · #25
24
Spread
KC -7
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
45.5
▼ Under 33
Projected
30–22
✗ KC lost
Trend: KC ATS ✗ Model: KC by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 6.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
5-2 · #2
31
1-6 · #28
24
Spread
BAL -9.5
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
45
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
29–19
✓ BAL won
Trend: BAL ATS ✗ Model: BAL by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
3-3 · #17
31
17
Spread
SF -4.5
✓ CIN W ATS
Total
44
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
22–27
✗ SF lost
Trend: CIN ATS ✓ Model: SF by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
2-5 · #18
13
30
Spread
LAC -9.5
✓ LAC W ATS
Total
46
▼ Under 43
Projected
23–32
✓ LAC won
Model: CHI by 5 ✗ Model: Over 9.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Oct 30

1
Final · Non-conf
3-4 · #23
14
5-2 · #6
26
Spread
DET -7
✓ DET W ATS
Total
46
▼ Under 40
Projected
21–28
✓ DET won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: LV by 1 ✗ Model: Over 3 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total