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NFL · 2023

NFL Week 7 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 7: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
13 finalFavorites 4-9 ATS7 upsetsO/U 6-7Model Favorite 6-7Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1313 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS4-931% covered
Upsets7outright
Over / Under6-746% over
Model Favorite6-746% won
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Thursday, Oct 19

1
Final · Non-conf
Jacksonville Jaguars
4-2 · #12
31
New Orleans Saints
3-3 · #11
24
Spread
NO -1.5
✓ JAX W ATS
Total
40.5
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
23–24
✗ NO lost
Model: JAX by 1 ✓ Model: Over 7 ✓ Cover settled: Q1

Sunday, Oct 22

11
Final · Non-conf
Las Vegas Raiders
3-3 · #23
12
Chicago Bears
1-5 · #18
30
Spread
LV -1.5
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
37.5
▲ Over 42 · Q4
Projected
22–20
✗ LV lost
Model: CHI by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Cleveland Browns
3-2 · #8
39
Indianapolis Colts
3-3 · #21
38
Spread
CLE -3.5
✓ IND W ATS
Total
40.5
▲ Over 77 · Q2
Projected
26–23
✓ CLE won
Model: IND by 3 ✓ Model: Over 8 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Division
Buffalo Bills
4-2 · #4
25
New England Patriots
1-5 · #29
29
Spread
BUF -7.5
✓ NE W ATS
Total
39.5
▲ Over 54 · Q4
Projected
27–19
✗ BUF lost
Trend: Under ✗ Model: BUF by 0 ✗ Model: Over 6 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Washington Commanders
3-3 · #32
7
New York Giants
1-5 · #30
14
Spread
WSH -3.5
✓ NYG W ATS
Total
36.5
▼ Under 21
Projected
24–21
✗ WSH lost
Trend: WSH ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: NYG by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 8.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Atlanta Falcons
3-3 · #24
16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3-2 · #14
13
Spread
TB -2.5
✓ ATL W ATS
Total
37.5
▼ Under 29
Projected
22–24
✗ TB lost
Model: ATL by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 8 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Detroit Lions
5-1 · #6
6
Baltimore Ravens
4-2 · #2
38
Spread
BAL -3.5
✓ BAL W ATS
Total
43.5
▲ Over 44 · Q4
Projected
21–24
✓ BAL won
Trend: Under ✗ Model: DET by 4 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Pittsburgh Steelers
3-2 · #19
24
Los Angeles Rams
3-3 · #9
17
Spread
LAR -3.5
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
43.5
▼ Under 41
Projected
23–27
✗ LAR lost
Trend: PIT ATS ✓ Model: LAR by 2 ✗ Model: Over 6.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
Arizona Cardinals
1-5 · #28
10
Seattle Seahawks
3-2 · #20
20
Spread
SEA -9.5
✓ SEA W ATS
Total
43.5
▼ Under 30
Projected
21–30
✓ SEA won
Model: ARI by 2.5 ✗ Model: Over 8 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Green Bay Packers
2-3 · #10
17
Denver Broncos
1-5 · #25
19
Spread
DEN -2.5
✓ GB W ATS
Total
43.5
▼ Under 36
Projected
26–28
✓ DEN won
Model: GB by 4 ✓ Model: Over 10 ✗ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Division
Los Angeles Chargers
2-3 · #22
17
Kansas City Chiefs
5-1 · #5
31
Spread
KC -5.5
✓ KC W ATS
Total
47.5
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
23–28
✓ KC won
Model: KC by 1 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Miami Dolphins
5-1 · #7
17
Philadelphia Eagles
5-1 · #16
31
Spread
PHI -3.5
✓ PHI W ATS
Total
51.5
▼ Under 48
Projected
26–29
✓ PHI won
Model: MIA by 1 ✗ Model: Over 4 ✗ Cover settled: Q2

Monday, Oct 23

1
Final · Non-conf
San Francisco 49ers
5-1 · #1
17
Minnesota Vikings
2-4 · #15
22
Spread
SF -6.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 39
Projected
28–22
✗ SF lost
Model: MIN by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total