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NFL · 2023

NFL Week 10 games

FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 10: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results
14 finalFavorites 6-7 ATS5 upsetsO/U 8-6Model Favorite 9-5Week in numbers ›

Week in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below
Games1414 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS6-746% covered
Upsets5outright
Over / Under8-657% over
Model Favorite9-564% won
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Thursday, Nov 9

1
Final · Non-conf
Carolina Panthers
1-7 · #31
13
Chicago Bears
2-7 · #18
16
Spread
CHI -3.5
✓ CAR W ATS
Total
38
▼ Under 29
Projected
22–25
✓ CHI won
Model: CAR by 0 ✓ Model: Over 9.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Sunday, Nov 12

12
Final · Neutral
Indianapolis Colts
4-5 · #21
10
New England Patriots
2-7 · #29
6
Spread
IND -1
✓ IND W ATS
Total
42.5
▼ Under 16
Projected
26–25
✓ IND won
Trend: IND ATS ✓ Model: IND by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 8.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Houston Texans
4-4 · #13
30
Cincinnati Bengals
5-3 · #17
27
Spread
CIN -5.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
45.5
▲ Over 57 · Q4
Projected
22–27
✗ CIN lost
Model: HOU by 4.5 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
New Orleans Saints
5-4 · #11
19
Minnesota Vikings
5-4 · #15
27
Spread
NO -3
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
41
▲ Over 46 · Q4
Projected
26–23
✗ NO lost
Trend: MIN ATS ✓ Model: MIN by 5 ✓ Model: Over 8 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
Green Bay Packers
3-5 · #10
19
Pittsburgh Steelers
5-3 · #19
23
Spread
PIT -3
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
38
▲ Over 42 · Q3
Projected
22–25
✓ PIT won
Trend: PIT ATS ✓ Model: GB by 3.5 ✗ Model: Over 8.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Tennessee Titans
3-5 · #27
6
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3-5 · #14
20
Spread
TB -2.5
✓ TB W ATS
Total
39
▼ Under 26
Projected
22–24
✓ TB won
Model: TEN by 2 ✗ Model: Over 7 ✗ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
San Francisco 49ers
5-3 · #1
34
Jacksonville Jaguars
6-2 · #12
3
Spread
SF -3
✓ SF W ATS
Total
44.5
▼ Under 37
Projected
26–23
✓ SF won
Model: SF by 1.5 ✓ Model: Over 4.5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
Cleveland Browns
5-3 · #8
33
Baltimore Ravens
7-2 · #2
31
Spread
BAL -6
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
39
▲ Over 64 · Q3
Projected
19–25
✗ BAL lost
Trend: BAL ATS ✗ Model: BAL by 1.5 ✗ Model: Over 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q4
Final · Non-conf
Atlanta Falcons
4-5 · #24
23
Arizona Cardinals
1-8 · #28
25
Spread
ATL -2
✓ ARI W ATS
Total
43.5
▲ Over 48 · Q4
Projected
25–23
✗ ATL lost
Trend: ARI ATS ✓ Model: ATL by 1 ✗ Model: Over 4.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q3
Final · Non-conf
Detroit Lions
6-2 · #6
41
Los Angeles Chargers
4-4 · #22
38
Spread
DET -2.5
✓ DET W ATS
Total
48
▲ Over 79 · Q3
Projected
28–25
✓ DET won
Trend: DET ATS ✓Trend: Under ✗ Model: DET by 0 ✓ Model: Over 5.5 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
New York Giants
2-7 · #30
17
Dallas Cowboys
5-3 · #3
49
Spread
DAL -17.5
✓ DAL W ATS
Total
39
▲ Over 66 · Q3
Projected
15–32
✓ DAL won
Model: NYG by 4.5 ✗ Model: Over 9 ✓ Cover settled: Q2
Final · Non-conf
Washington Commanders
4-5 · #32
26
Seattle Seahawks
5-3 · #20
29
Spread
SEA -6
✓ WSH W ATS
Total
44
▲ Over 55 · Q4
Projected
23–28
✓ SEA won
Trend: WSH ATS ✓ Model: WSH by 2 ✓ Model: Over 7 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Non-conf
New York Jets
4-4 · #26
12
Las Vegas Raiders
4-5 · #23
16
Spread
Pick’em
✓ LV W ATS
Total
36.5
▼ Under 28
Projected
22–22
✓ LV won
Trend: Under ✓ Model: Over 7 ✗ Cover settled: Q4

Monday, Nov 13

1
Final · Non-conf
Denver Broncos
3-5 · #25
24
Buffalo Bills
5-4 · #4
22
Spread
BUF -7.5
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
47
▼ Under 46
Projected
22–30
✗ BUF lost
Trend: BUF ATS ✗Trend: Under ✓ Model: BUF by 2 ✗ Model: Over 5 ✗ Cover settled: Q1
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total