FinalCurrentUpcomingWeek 3: 1st-half lines & halftime results ›Spread edge and Total edge = our projection vs the market ⓘ · Trend = this season’s results

Week in numbers

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Games1616 final · 0 to play
Favorites ATS1-150% covered
Upsets1outright
Over / Under0-10% over
Model Favorite8-850% won
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Thursday, Sep 21

1
Final · Non-conf
1-1 · #30
12
30
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
18–32
✓ SF won

Sunday, Sep 24

13
Final · Non-conf
1-1 · #27
3
1-1 · #8
27
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
16–22
✓ CLE won
Final · Non-conf
2-0 · #24
6
1-1 · #6
20
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
28–27
✗ ATL lost
Final · Non-conf
2-0 · #11
17
1-1 · #10
18
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
27–27
✗ NO lost
Final · Non-conf
0-2 · #25
20
2-0 · #7
70
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
31–35
✓ MIA won
Final · Non-conf
28
0-2 · #15
24
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
29–26
✓ LAC won
Final · Division
15
1-1 · #26
10
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
12–20
✗ NYJ lost
Final · Non-conf
1-1 · #4
37
3
Spread
BUF -4.5
✓ BUF W ATS
Total
—
 
Projected
29–24
✓ BUF won
Model: BUF by 4 ✓ Cover settled: Q1
Final · Division
0-2 · #13
37
17
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
23–33
✗ JAX lost
Final · Non-conf
1-1 · #21
22
2-0 · #2
19
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
21–27
✗ BAL lost
Final · Non-conf
0-2 · #31
27
1-1 · #20
37
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
20–25
✓ SEA won
Final · Non-conf
0-2 · #18
10
1-1 · #5
41
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
12–28
✓ KC won
Final · Non-conf
2-0 · #3
16
0-2 · #28
28
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
35–14
✗ DAL lost
Final · Non-conf
1-1 · #19
23
1-1 · #23
18
Spread
LV -1.5
✓ PIT W ATS
Total
42.5
▼ Under 41
Projected
28–30
✗ LV lost
Trend: PIT ATS ✓ Model: LV by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 15 ✗ Cover settled: Q1

Monday, Sep 25

2
Final · Non-conf
2-0 · #16
25
11
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
32–31
✓ PHI won
Final · Non-conf
1-1 · #9
16
0-2 · #17
19
Spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Projected
36–20
✗ LAR lost
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StatusMatchupSpreadMoveTotalModelSignalDetails
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Hover a column name for what it means. Records are before kickoff; #N = power rank. Data signal badges: green = ATS, teal = Over, purple = Under; solid = moderate or strong lean (blue left edge on the row); ✓/✗ = how the lean did. ↗ Line toward model the line (or total) has moved toward the model's pick since the open; hover it for how such picks have done. small sample · QB ⓘ quarterback on the injury report (hover or tap it to see who). In our 2023–26 backtest, moderate-or-stronger ATS leans went 117-99 (54%) and total leans 21-24 (47%), so treat them as context, not picks.
Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total