Sun, Sep 24, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Cleveland Browns
Closing spread
—
Total
—
Model before kickoff
TEN 16–22 CLE
✓ CLE (71%) won
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
Close—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close—
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Tennessee Titans have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 50% | 0-0 — | 0-0 — | |
| 1-1 50% | 0-0 — | 0-0 — |
Recent meetings
The series
TEN 11–7 CLE
TEN leads · 18 games since 1999 · TEN has won the last meeting
All-time series from nflverse.
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
TEN−0.8 →−0.5▲ 0.3#15
CLE+6.0 →+1.7▼ 4.3#9
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2
Longer bar = better
#21
Offense
Even#22
#14
Defense
CLE better ▶#2
−0.5 #19
Turnovers
◀ TEN better−2.0 #29
61 plays #21
Pace
CLE faster ▶77 plays #2
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| TEN off | CLE def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 21.0 #20 | 14.5 #3 | CLE |
| Yards / play | 5.13 #14 | 3.71 #2 | CLE |
| EPA / play | −0.10 #21 | −0.43 #2 | CLE |
| Success rate | 36% #29 | 24% #1 | CLE |
| CLE off | TEN def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 23.0 #17 | 20.0 #11 | TEN |
| Yards / play | 4.95 #22 | 5.37 #20 | Even |
| EPA / play | −0.18 #27 | 0.00 #19 | TEN |
| Success rate | 41% #22 | 39% #6 | TEN |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 2 teams
TEN scoring against the CLE defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3.0 | 6.5 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 10.0 | |
3.5 | 4.5 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 6.5 |
CLE scoring against the TEN defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1.5 | 10.5 | 12.0 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 11.0 | |
3.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
63° · 15 mph
gusts 20 mph · wind lowers scoring
Rest
TEN7d
CLE6d
TEN +1 day
Tempo
Fast 138 plays
slowavg 128fast
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

