Sun, Sep 17, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Tennessee Titans
Closing spread
—
Total
—
Model before kickoff
LAC 30–29 TEN
✗ LAC (54%) lost
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
Close—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close—
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Los Angeles Chargers have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-1 0% | 0-0 — | 0-0 — | |
| 0-1 0% | 0-0 — | 0-0 — |
Recent meetings
The series
LAC 12–3 TEN
LAC leads · 15 games since 2004 · LAC has won the last 2 meetings
All-time series from nflverse.
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams
Longer bar = better
#4
Offense
◀ LAC better#24
#31
Defense
TEN better ▶#15
+2.0 #8
Turnovers
◀ LAC better−1.0 #20
76 plays #3
Pace
◀ LAC faster59 plays #23
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| LAC off | TEN def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 34.0 #4 | 16.0 #8 | Even |
| Yards / play | 5.70 #4 | 5.48 #27 | LAC |
| EPA / play | +0.15 #6 | −0.09 #18 | LAC |
| Success rate | 58% #1 | 35% #8 | LAC |
| TEN off | LAC def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 15.0 #26 | 36.0 #30 | Even |
| Yards / play | 4.83 #15 | 8.25 #32 | TEN |
| EPA / play | −0.22 #23 | +0.31 #32 | TEN |
| Success rate | 29% #31 | 51% #31 | Even |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
73° · 7 mph
gusts 18 mph · at kickoff
Rest
LAC7d
TEN7d
Even
Tempo
Fast 135 plays
slowavg 128fast
Travel
LAC 1,784 mi
2 time zones
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

