Sun, Sep 17, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Tennessee Titans
Weather at kickoff73°F7 mphgusts 18DryWeather watch ›
0-1 · Power #22
24
final
Final
@
0-1 · Power #27
27
▲ winner
Closing spread
—
 
Total
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Model before kickoff
LAC 30–29 TEN
✗ LAC (54%) lost
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Market

Open → close
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Signals

The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Small sample warning
Los Angeles Chargers have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams
LAC
Longer bar = better
TEN
#4
Offense
◀ LAC better
#24
#31
Defense
TEN better ▶
#15
+2.0 #8
Turnovers
◀ LAC better
−1.0 #20
76 plays #3
Pace
◀ LAC faster
59 plays #23
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When LAC has the ball
Advantage: LAC offense
LAC offTEN defEdge
Points / game 34.0 #4 16.0 #8 Even
Yards / play 5.70 #4 5.48 #27 LAC
EPA / play +0.15 #6 −0.09 #18 LAC
Success rate 58% #1 35% #8 LAC
When TEN has the ball
Advantage: TEN offense
TEN offLAC defEdge
Points / game 15.0 #26 36.0 #30 Even
Yards / play 4.83 #15 8.25 #32 TEN
EPA / play −0.22 #23 +0.31 #32 TEN
Success rate 29% #31 51% #31 Even

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
TEN +1.8
home-field points in the model
Weather
73° · 7 mph
gusts 18 mph · at kickoff
Rest
LAC7d
TEN7d
Even
Tempo
Fast 135 plays
slowavg 128fast
Travel
LAC 1,784 mi
2 time zones