Packers @ Falcons: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2023)

Sun, Sep 17, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Atlanta Falcons

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Green Bay Packers

1-0 · Power #10

final

Final

Atlanta Falcons

1-0 · Power #24

▲ winner

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

GB 28–25 ATL

✗ GB (61%) lost

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
GB –	0-0	—	—	—
ATL –	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: GB away; ATL home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
GB –	0-0	—	1-0
ATL –	0-0	—	1-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
GBlast 1	1-0 100%	0-0 —	0-0 —
ATLlast 1	1-0 100%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

GB 8–9 ATL ATL leads · 17 games since 2001 · ATL has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Longer bar = better

ATL

Offense

◀ GB better

#17

#15

Defense

ATL better ▶

+2.0 #6

Turnovers

ATL better ▶

+3.0 #1

60 plays #21

Pace

◀ GB faster

48 plays #31

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When GB has the ball

Even matchup

	GB off	ATL def	Edge
Points / game	38.0 #2	10.0 #5	Even
Yards / play	5.48 #6	3.90 #6	Even
EPA / play	+0.16 #5	−0.27 #8	Even
Success rate	37% #24	39% #13	ATL

When ATL has the ball

Even matchup

	ATL off	GB def	Edge
Points / game	24.0 #10	20.0 #16	ATL
Yards / play	4.60 #19	4.44 #11	GB
EPA / play	−0.11 #17	−0.18 #11	GB
Success rate	38% #22	42% #21	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.