Thu, Sep 14, 2023, 8:15 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Philadelphia Eagles
Closing spread
—
Total
—
Model before kickoff
MIN 24–27 PHI
✓ PHI (60%) won
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
Close—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close—
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Minnesota Vikings have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-1 0% | 0-0 — | 0-0 — | |
| 1-0 100% | 0-0 — | 0-0 — |
Recent meetings
The series
MIN 4–10 PHI
PHI leads · 14 games since 2001 · PHI has won the last 3 meetings
All-time series from nflverse.
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams
Longer bar = better
#14
Offense
◀ MIN better#19
#11
Defense
◀ MIN better#17
−3.0 #30
Turnovers
PHI better ▶+1.0 #14
63 plays #18
Pace
Even61 plays #21
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| MIN off | PHI def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 17.0 #20 | 20.0 #18 | Even |
| Yards / play | 5.86 #3 | 4.90 #21 | MIN |
| EPA / play | −0.13 #17 | −0.20 #11 | PHI |
| Success rate | 40% #17 | 41% #19 | Even |
| PHI off | MIN def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 25.0 #9 | 20.0 #15 | PHI |
| Yards / play | 4.11 #22 | 3.56 #3 | MIN |
| EPA / play | −0.15 #20 | −0.10 #19 | Even |
| Success rate | 35% #25 | 34% #7 | MIN |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
68° · 9 mph
gusts 12 mph · at kickoff
Rest
MIN4d short
PHI4d short
Even
Tempo
Average 124 plays
slowavg 127fast
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

