Thu, Sep 14, 2023, 8:15 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Philadelphia Eagles
Weather at kickoff68°F9 mphDryWeather watch ›
0-1 · Power #15
28
final
Final
@
1-0 · Power #16
34
▲ winner
Closing spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Model before kickoff
MIN 24–27 PHI
✓ PHI (60%) won
Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Signals

The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Small sample warning
Minnesota Vikings have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Loading play-by-play…

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams
MIN
Longer bar = better
PHI
#14
Offense
◀ MIN better
#19
#11
Defense
◀ MIN better
#17
−3.0 #30
Turnovers
PHI better ▶
+1.0 #14
63 plays #18
Pace
Even
61 plays #21
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When MIN has the ball
Even matchup
MIN offPHI defEdge
Points / game 17.0 #20 20.0 #18 Even
Yards / play 5.86 #3 4.90 #21 MIN
EPA / play −0.13 #17 −0.20 #11 PHI
Success rate 40% #17 41% #19 Even
When PHI has the ball
Advantage: MIN defense
PHI offMIN defEdge
Points / game 25.0 #9 20.0 #15 PHI
Yards / play 4.11 #22 3.56 #3 MIN
EPA / play −0.15 #20 −0.10 #19 Even
Success rate 35% #25 34% #7 MIN

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
PHI +1.8
home-field points in the model
Weather
68° · 9 mph
gusts 12 mph · at kickoff
Rest
MIN4d short
PHI4d short
Even
Tempo
Average 124 plays
slowavg 127fast