Eagles @ Buccaneers: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2023)

Mon, Sep 25, 2023, 7:15 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Weather at kickoff79°F5 mphDryWeather watch ›

Philadelphia Eagles

2-0 · Power #16

▲ winner

Final

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2-0 · Power #14

final

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

PHI 32–31 TB

✓ PHI (56%) won

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PHI ––	0-0	—	—	—
TB ––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: PHI away; TB home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
PHI ––	0-0	—	2-0
TB ––	0-0	—	2-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PHIlast 2	2-0 100%	0-0 —	0-0 —
TBlast 2	2-0 100%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

PHI 9–10 TB TB leads · 19 games since 1999 · PHI has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

PHI0.0 →+0.1▲ 0.1#12

TB+0.3 →−0.5▼ 0.8#14

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

PHI

Longer bar = better

#11

Offense

◀ PHI better

#17

#19

Defense

TB better ▶

+2.0 #2

Turnovers

Even

+2.5 #1

68 plays #10

Pace

Even

68 plays #9

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When PHI has the ball

Even matchup

	PHI off	TB def	Edge
Points / game	29.5 #4	17.0 #7	Even
Yards / play	5.01 #16	5.31 #16	Even
EPA / play	+0.01 #12	−0.15 #6	TB
Success rate	44% #12	40% #7	TB

When TB has the ball

Even matchup

	TB off	PHI def	Edge
Points / game	23.5 #16	24.0 #19	Even
Yards / play	4.99 #18	5.68 #29	TB
EPA / play	+0.07 #8	−0.09 #12	Even
Success rate	39% #27	43% #16	PHI

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 28 teams

PHI scoring against the TB defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PHI scored	9.5	5.0	14.5	8.5	6.5	15.0
TB allowed	3.5	6.5	10.0	0.0	7.0	7.0

TB scoring against the PHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TB scored	3.0	8.5	11.5	7.0	5.0	12.0
PHI allowed	0.0	10.5	10.5	3.5	10.0	13.5

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.