Broncos @ Dolphins: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2023)

Sun, Sep 24, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Miami Dolphins

Weather at kickoff86°F3 mphgusts 12Wet0.0 mmWet Over 51% of 104 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Denver Broncos

0-2 · Power #25

final

Final

Miami Dolphins

2-0 · Power #7

▲ winner

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

DEN 31–35 MIA

✓ MIA (64%) won

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
DEN LL	0-2	0%	—	—
MIA ––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: DEN away; MIA home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
DEN U–	0-1	0%	0-2
MIA ––	0-0	—	2-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
DENlast 2	0-2 0%	0-2 0%	0-1 0%
MIAlast 2	2-0 100%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

DEN 4–7 MIA MIA leads · 11 games since 1999 · MIA has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

DEN0.0 →−0.7▼ 0.7#17

MIA+2.1 →+4.8▲ 2.7#5

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

DEN

Longer bar = better

MIA

#10

Offense

MIA better ▶

#23

Defense

Even

#22

−0.5 #20

Turnovers

Even

−0.5 #21

60 plays #23

Pace

MIA faster ▶

63 plays #19

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When DEN has the ball

Advantage: DEN offense

	DEN off	MIA def	Edge
Points / game	24.5 #15	25.5 #22	DEN
Yards / play	5.49 #7	4.90 #11	Even
EPA / play	+0.07 #9	+0.04 #23	DEN
Success rate	45% #9	55% #32	DEN

When MIA has the ball

Advantage: MIA offense

	MIA off	DEN def	Edge
Points / game	30.0 #4	26.0 #24	MIA
Yards / play	7.34 #1	5.36 #19	MIA
EPA / play	+0.25 #1	+0.19 #31	MIA
Success rate	52% #2	43% #17	MIA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 2 teams

DEN scoring against the MIA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DEN scored	10.0	7.0	17.0	1.5	6.0	7.5
MIA allowed	3.5	6.5	10.0	3.5	12.0	15.5

MIA scoring against the DEN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MIA scored	5.0	13.5	18.5	3.5	8.0	11.5
DEN allowed	5.0	7.0	12.0	3.5	10.5	14.0

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.