Giants @ 49ers: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2023)

Thu, Sep 21, 2023, 8:15 PM EDTWeek 3 · at San Francisco 49ers

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New York Giants

1-1 · Power #30

final

Final

San Francisco 49ers

2-0 · Power #1

▲ winner

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

NYG 18–32 SF

✓ SF (90%) won

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NYG ––	0-0	—	—	—
SF ––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: NYG away; SF home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NYG ––	0-0	—	1-1
SF ––	0-0	—	2-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NYGlast 2	1-1 50%	0-0 —	0-0 —
SFlast 2	2-0 100%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

NYG 7–8 SF SF leads · 15 games since 2002 · SF has won the last 3 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NYG−9.1 →−1.1▲ 8.0#18

SF+7.9 →+12.0▲ 4.1#2

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

NYG

Longer bar = better

#23

Offense

SF better ▶

#26

Defense

SF better ▶

−2.0 #31

Turnovers

SF better ▶

+1.5 #5

66 plays #13

Pace

◀ NYG faster

60 plays #23

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NYG has the ball

Advantage: SF defense

	NYG off	SF def	Edge
Points / game	15.5 #28	15.0 #4	SF
Yards / play	4.62 #25	4.50 #5	SF
EPA / play	−0.11 #23	−0.17 #4	SF
Success rate	43% #15	44% #17	Even

When SF has the ball

Advantage: SF offense

	SF off	NYG def	Edge
Points / game	30.0 #3	34.0 #32	SF
Yards / play	6.30 #2	5.60 #27	SF
EPA / play	+0.15 #2	+0.12 #27	SF
Success rate	45% #10	44% #18	SF

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 0 teams

NYG scoring against the SF defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYG scored	0.0	0.0	0.0	7.0	8.5	15.5
SF allowed	1.5	10.5	12.0	0.0	3.0	3.0

SF scoring against the NYG defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SF scored	8.5	10.0	18.5	5.0	6.5	11.5
NYG allowed	11.5	11.5	23.0	7.5	3.5	11.0

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.