Mon, Oct 2, 2023, 8:15 PM EDTWeek 4 · at New York Giants
Closing spread
—
Total
—
Model before kickoff
SEA 30–29 NYG
✓ SEA (54%) won
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
Close—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close—
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Seattle Seahawks have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-1 67% | 0-0 — | 0-0 — | |
| 1-2 33% | 0-0 — | 0-0 — |
Recent meetings
The series
SEA 8–6 NYG
SEA leads · 14 games since 2001 · NYG has won the last meeting
All-time series from nflverse.
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
SEA−7.8 →−3.9▲ 3.9#27
NYG−9.1 →−5.1▲ 4.0#29
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3
Longer bar = better
#6
Offense
◀ SEA better#26
#26
Defense
Even#26
+0.7 #11
Turnovers
◀ SEA better−1.7 #29
61 plays #21
Pace
◀ SEA faster59 plays #25
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| SEA off | NYG def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 29.0 #6 | 32.7 #30 | SEA |
| Yards / play | 5.42 #12 | 5.62 #23 | SEA |
| EPA / play | +0.14 #4 | +0.15 #30 | SEA |
| Success rate | 52% #3 | 45% #21 | SEA |
| NYG off | SEA def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 14.3 #30 | 29.3 #27 | Even |
| Yards / play | 4.27 #30 | 5.63 #24 | SEA |
| EPA / play | −0.15 #25 | +0.10 #29 | Even |
| Success rate | 41% #20 | 46% #25 | NYG |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams
SEA scoring against the NYG defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.3 #15 | 6.3 #16 | 10.7 #16 | 6.7 #7 | 9.7 #5 | 16.3 #2 | |
8.7 #31 | 12.3 #31 | 21.0 #32 | 6.0 #25 | 5.7 #15 | 11.7 #19 |
NYG scoring against the SEA defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1.0 #28 | 1.0 #32 | 2.0 #32 | 6.7 #7 | 5.7 #21 | 12.3 #9 | |
5.7 #21 | 5.7 #8 | 11.3 #17 | 5.7 #24 | 12.3 #32 | 18.0 #31 |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
65° · 5 mph
gusts 8 mph · at kickoff
Rest
SEA8d
NYG11d
NYG +3 days
Tempo
Slow 121 plays
slowavg 127fast
Travel
SEA 2,396 mi
3 time zones
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

