Lions @ Packers: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2023)

Thu, Sep 28, 2023, 8:15 PM EDTWeek 4 · at Green Bay Packers · Division game

Weather at kickoff62°F4 mphgusts 9DryWeather watch ›

Detroit Lions

2-1 · Power #6

▲ winner

Final

Green Bay Packers

2-1 · Power #10

final

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

DET 31–27 GB

✓ DET (66%) won

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
DET –––	0-0	—	—	—
GB –––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: DET away; GB home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
DET –––	0-0	—	2-1
GB –––	0-0	—	2-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
DETlast 3	2-1 67%	0-0 —	0-0 —
GBlast 3	2-1 67%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

DET 18–36 GB GB leads · 54 games since 1999 · GB has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

DET+1.7 →+0.9▼ 0.8#11

GB+5.2 →−3.7▼ 8.9#26

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

DET

Longer bar = better

#12

Offense

Even

#13

#12

Defense

Even

#15

−1.0 #24

Turnovers

GB better ▶

+0.7 #14

66 plays #14

Pace

◀ DET faster

59 plays #25

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When DET has the ball

Even matchup

	DET off	GB def	Edge
Points / game	24.0 #12	20.7 #13	Even
Yards / play	5.78 #7	4.85 #11	Even
EPA / play	0.00 #14	−0.03 #16	Even
Success rate	43% #15	45% #20	DET

When GB has the ball

Even matchup

	GB off	DET def	Edge
Points / game	26.7 #8	21.0 #15	GB
Yards / play	5.02 #16	4.60 #6	DET
EPA / play	+0.06 #7	−0.08 #13	GB
Success rate	41% #21	42% #15	DET

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

DET scoring against the GB defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DET scored	5.7 #10	5.7 #18	11.3 #13	4.7 #13	8.0 #12	12.7 #10
GB allowed	4.3 #19	6.3 #11	10.7 #16	3.7 #15	6.3 #17	10.0 #13

GB scoring against the DET defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GB scored	2.3 #20	4.3 #27	6.7 #26	9.3 #2	10.7 #3	20.0 #1
DET allowed	2.3 #6	5.7 #8	8.0 #6	4.3 #16	6.7 #18	11.0 #15

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.