Panthers @ Lions: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 5, 2023)

Sun, Oct 8, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 5 · at Detroit Lions

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Carolina Panthers

0-4 · Power #31

final

Final

Detroit Lions

3-1 · Power #6

▲ winner

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

CAR 17–34 DET

✓ DET (94%) won

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CAR ––––	0-0	—	—	—
DET ––––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: CAR away; DET home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CAR ––––	0-0	—	0-4
DET ––––	0-0	—	3-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CARlast 4	0-4 0%	0-0 —	0-0 —
DETlast 4	3-1 75%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

CAR 9–4 DET CAR leads · 13 games since 1999 · CAR has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CAR−2.1 →−8.4▼ 6.3#31

DET+1.7 →+3.7▲ 2.0#9

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW4

CAR

Longer bar = better

DET

#27

Offense

DET better ▶

#10

#24

Defense

DET better ▶

−0.3 #21

Turnovers

Even

−0.5 #22

68 plays #9

Pace

Even

68 plays #8

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CAR has the ball

Advantage: DET defense

	CAR off	DET def	Edge
Points / game	16.8 #24	20.8 #13	DET
Yards / play	4.17 #30	4.54 #4	DET
EPA / play	−0.15 #26	−0.11 #7	DET
Success rate	40% #26	41% #8	DET

When DET has the ball

Advantage: DET offense

	DET off	CAR def	Edge
Points / game	26.5 #8	25.5 #25	DET
Yards / play	5.70 #8	5.28 #20	DET
EPA / play	+0.04 #12	+0.02 #22	DET
Success rate	45% #12	49% #29	DET

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

CAR scoring against the DET defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CAR scored	3.3 #22	5.8 #19	9.0 #21	1.5 #30	6.3 #18	7.8 #23
DET allowed	2.5 #8	4.3 #4	6.8 #3	5.3 #23	7.3 #21	12.5 #22

DET scoring against the CAR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DET scored	7.8 #3	7.5 #14	15.3 #8	3.5 #18	7.8 #10	11.3 #14
CAR allowed	1.5 #3	6.5 #13	8.0 #7	8.5 #30	9.0 #25	17.5 #30

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.