Texans @ Falcons: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 5, 2023)

Sun, Oct 8, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 5 · at Atlanta Falcons

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Houston Texans

2-2 · Power #13

final

Final

Atlanta Falcons

2-2 · Power #24

▲ winner

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

HOU 27–16 ATL

✗ HOU (84%) lost

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
HOU ––––	0-0	—	—	—
ATL ––––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: HOU away; ATL home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
HOU ––––	0-0	—	2-2
ATL ––––	0-0	—	2-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
HOUlast 4	2-2 50%	0-0 —	0-0 —
ATLlast 4	2-2 50%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

HOU 3–3 ATL Series tied · 6 games since 2003 · ATL has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

HOU−2.2 →+5.8▲ 8.0#6

ATL+2.1 →−4.9▼ 7.0#26

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW4

HOU

Longer bar = better

ATL

#17

Offense

◀ HOU better

#24

#15

Defense

ATL better ▶

+0.8 #11

Turnovers

◀ HOU better

−0.3 #20

69 plays #6

Pace

◀ HOU faster

62 plays #20

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When HOU has the ball

Advantage: ATL defense

	HOU off	ATL def	Edge
Points / game	24.0 #15	19.3 #10	ATL
Yards / play	5.34 #14	4.71 #5	ATL
EPA / play	0.00 #15	−0.07 #10	ATL
Success rate	40% #24	40% #6	ATL

When ATL has the ball

Advantage: HOU defense

	ATL off	HOU def	Edge
Points / game	15.5 #25	19.8 #11	HOU
Yards / play	4.58 #26	5.22 #18	HOU
EPA / play	−0.14 #25	−0.03 #16	HOU
Success rate	41% #21	43% #16	HOU

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

HOU scoring against the ATL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
HOU scored	6.0 #11	6.3 #17	12.3 #13	1.8 #29	10.0 #3	11.8 #11
ATL allowed	2.5 #8	9.3 #28	11.8 #18	4.3 #17	3.3 #4	7.5 #7

ATL scoring against the HOU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ATL scored	0.8 #28	4.0 #27	4.8 #30	3.3 #22	7.5 #11	10.8 #16
HOU allowed	5.3 #22	3.5 #2	8.8 #9	8.5 #30	2.5 #3	11.0 #17

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.