Jets @ Broncos: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 5, 2023)

Sun, Oct 8, 2023, 4:25 PM EDTWeek 5 · at Denver Broncos

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New York Jets

1-3 · Power #26

▲ winner

Final

Denver Broncos

1-3 · Power #25

final

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

NYJ 27–27 DEN

✗ DEN (54%) lost

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NYJ ––––	0-0	—	—	—
DEN LL––	0-2	0%	0-2	—

Venue/role: NYJ away; DEN home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NYJ ––––	0-0	—	1-3
DEN U–––	0-1	0%	1-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NYJlast 4	1-3 25%	0-0 —	0-0 —
DENlast 4	1-3 25%	0-2 0%	0-1 0%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

NYJ 6–10 DEN DEN leads · 16 games since 1999 · DEN has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NYJ+1.0 →−1.5▼ 2.5#19

DEN0.0 →−3.1▼ 3.1#23

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW4

NYJ

Longer bar = better

DEN

#29

Offense

DEN better ▶

#11

#19

Defense

◀ NYJ better

#32

0.0 #19

Turnovers

◀ NYJ better

−0.5 #23

54 plays #32

Pace

Even

57 plays #31

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NYJ has the ball

Even matchup

	NYJ off	DEN def	Edge
Points / game	15.5 #29	37.5 #32	Even
Yards / play	4.66 #25	7.05 #32	NYJ
EPA / play	−0.23 #30	+0.29 #32	Even
Success rate	36% #31	50% #30	Even

When DEN has the ball

Advantage: DEN offense

	DEN off	NYJ def	Edge
Points / game	25.0 #11	21.0 #14	Even
Yards / play	5.87 #6	5.09 #15	DEN
EPA / play	+0.04 #11	+0.04 #24	DEN
Success rate	44% #15	44% #21	DEN

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

NYJ scoring against the DEN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYJ scored	0.0 #31	7.0 #14	7.0 #28	2.8 #25	4.3 #25	7.0 #27
DEN allowed	6.0 #24	14.0 #32	20.0 #32	7.0 #28	10.5 #30	17.5 #31

DEN scoring against the NYJ defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DEN scored	8.5 #3	5.0 #23	13.5 #10	2.5 #28	9.0 #6	11.5 #11
NYJ allowed	7.5 #29	7.8 #18	15.3 #27	2.3 #8	3.5 #4	5.8 #4

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.