Eagles @ Jets: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2023)

Sun, Oct 15, 2023, 4:25 PM EDTWeek 6 · at New York Jets

Weather at kickoff60°F14 mphgusts 28DryWindy Over 46% of 93 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Philadelphia Eagles

5-0 · Power #16

final

Final

New York Jets

2-3 · Power #26

▲ winner

Closing spread

PHI -5.5

✓ NYJ W

Total

41.5

▼ Under · 34 pts

Model before kickoff

PHI 28–23 NYJ

✗ PHI (70%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

Opennot available

ClosePHI -5.5

Total41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

ClosePHI -5.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close41.5

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

Opennot available

ClosePHI -5.5

Total41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like PHI as a 5.5-point road favorite at NYJ, the favorite won 7, covered 5, and 5 went over the total.

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This game: NYJ won 20–14 outright; the favorite didn’t cover, as in 5 of the 10 similar games. 34 points stayed under 41.5, as in 5 of 10.

Favorite won

7 of 1070%

Normal range · usually 65%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 43%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 49%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 7.4 against an average line of 5.9; 45.2 points a game (usually 47.3). When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	TB @ DEN 2020 · Week 3 · very close · similar rest & spread	-6	28–10	W	U42.5
Very close	GB @ CHI 2021 · Week 6 · very close · similar rest & spread	-6	24–14	W	U44
Close	CIN @ PIT 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar spread & situation	-5	37–30	W	O39.5
Close	NO @ CHI 2020 · Week 8 · close · similar spread & total	-5.5	26–23	L	O41
Close	SEA @ WSH 2020 · Week 15 · close · similar rest & situation	-6.5	20–15	L	U44
Close	SF @ CAR 2022 · Week 5 · close · similar rest & situation	-6.5	37–15	W	O39.5
Close	LV @ LAR 2022 · Week 14 · close · similar total & spread	-6	16–17	L	U42
Close	NE @ MIA 2021 · Week 18 · close · similar rest & total	-6	24–33	L	O41
Close	GB @ WSH 2022 · Week 7 · close · similar spread & total	-5.5	21–23	L	O41.5
Close	NO @ NYJ 2021 · Week 14 · close · similar total & spread	-6	30–9	W	U42

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PHI –––L–	0-1	0%	—	0-1
NYJ –––––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: PHI away, as favorite; NYJ home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
PHI –––O–	1-0	100%	5-0
NYJ –––––	0-0	—	2-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PHIlast 5	5-0 100%	0-1 0%	1-0 100%
NYJlast 5	2-3 40%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

PHI 6–1 NYJ PHI leads · 7 games since 2003 · NYJ has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

PHI0.0 →+2.4▲ 2.4#12

NYJ+1.0 →−2.6▼ 3.6#22

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

PHI

Longer bar = better

NYJ

Offense

◀ PHI better

#25

#12

Defense

◀ PHI better

#16

+0.6 #13

Turnovers

Even

+0.2 #16

72 plays #1

Pace

◀ PHI faster

56 plays #31

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When PHI has the ball

Advantage: PHI offense

	PHI off	NYJ def	Edge
Points / game	28.2 #5	21.0 #14	PHI
Yards / play	5.63 #8	5.14 #15	PHI
EPA / play	+0.09 #6	−0.01 #19	PHI
Success rate	48% #5	43% #17	PHI

When NYJ has the ball

Advantage: PHI defense

	NYJ off	PHI def	Edge
Points / game	18.6 #24	20.8 #13	PHI
Yards / play	5.08 #19	5.05 #11	PHI
EPA / play	−0.18 #28	−0.02 #17	PHI
Success rate	38% #30	41% #7	PHI

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

PHI scoring against the NYJ defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PHI scored	7.2 #2	6.6 #17	13.8 #9	7.4 #3	6.4 #16	13.8 #4
NYJ allowed	7.4 #29	7.4 #18	14.8 #28	1.8 #5	4.4 #10	6.2 #4

NYJ scoring against the PHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYJ scored	1.0 #29	6.2 #18	7.2 #28	4.2 #16	6.0 #19	10.2 #16
PHI allowed	2.8 #8	8.2 #23	11.0 #14	1.4 #3	8.4 #27	9.8 #17

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.