Ravens vs Titans: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2023)

Sun, Oct 15, 2023, 9:30 AM EDTWeek 6 · Neutral site

Weather at kickoff51°F7 mphgusts 15DryWeather watch ›

Baltimore Ravens

3-2 · Power #2

▲ winner

Final

Tennessee Titans

2-3 · Power #27

final

Closing spread

BAL -5.5

✓ BAL W

Total

41.5

▼ Under · 40 pts

Model before kickoff

BAL 25–20 TEN

✓ BAL (70%) won

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

Opennot available

CloseBAL -5.5

Total41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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Market

Open → close

Spread

Open—

no open

CloseBAL -5.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Close41.5

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

Opennot available

CloseBAL -5.5

Total41.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 2 games most like BAL as a 5.5-point neutral-site favorite against TEN, the favorite won 1, covered 1, and 2 went over the total.

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This game: BAL won 24–16; the favorite covered, as in 1 of the 2 similar games. 40 points stayed under 41.5, as in 0 of 2.

Favorite won

1 of 250%

Normal range · usually 65%

Favorite covered

1 of 250%

Normal range · usually 43%

Went over

2 of 2100%

Normal range · usually 49%

Only 2 close matches, too few to read much into. Average result: favorite by 11.5 against an average line of 7.8; 48.5 points a game (usually 47.3). When games like this go over ›

All 2 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Close	SF vs ARI 2022 · Week 11 · close · similar rest & season form	-7.5	38–10	W	O43
Close	GB vs NYG 2022 · Week 5 · close · similar total & rest	-8	22–27	L	O41.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2020 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
BAL –––––	0-0	—	—	—
TEN –––––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: BAL neutral, as favorite; TEN neutral, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
BAL –––––	0-0	—	3-2
TEN –––––	0-0	—	2-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BALlast 5	3-2 60%	0-0 —	0-0 —
TENlast 5	2-3 40%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

BAL 13–9 TEN BAL leads · 22 games since 1999 · BAL has won the last 3 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

BAL+2.2 →+5.0▲ 2.8#4

TEN−0.8 →−2.8▼ 2.0#24

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

BAL

Longer bar = better

TEN

#14

Offense

◀ BAL better

#23

Defense

◀ BAL better

#17

−0.4 #20

Turnovers

Even

−0.2 #18

64 plays #16

Pace

◀ BAL faster

57 plays #30

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When BAL has the ball

Even matchup

	BAL off	TEN def	Edge
Points / game	21.8 #17	18.6 #9	TEN
Yards / play	5.20 #16	5.44 #21	BAL
EPA / play	−0.03 #14	+0.01 #22	BAL
Success rate	47% #7	43% #14	BAL

When TEN has the ball

Advantage: BAL defense

	TEN off	BAL def	Edge
Points / game	17.6 #26	15.0 #4	BAL
Yards / play	5.11 #18	3.88 #2	BAL
EPA / play	−0.05 #19	−0.19 #4	BAL
Success rate	38% #29	37% #3	BAL

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

BAL scoring against the TEN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BAL scored	7.0 #5	4.6 #25	11.6 #12	5.8 #6	4.4 #24	10.2 #17
TEN allowed	3.8 #14	5.4 #7	9.2 #9	4.8 #22	4.6 #9	9.4 #14

TEN scoring against the BAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
TEN scored	2.4 #25	8.0 #12	10.4 #18	4.0 #16	2.6 #30	6.6 #30
BAL allowed	0.6 #1	5.8 #10	6.4 #3	2.0 #8	6.0 #18	8.0 #6

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.