49ers @ Browns: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 6, 2023)

Sun, Oct 15, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 6 · at Cleveland Browns

Weather at kickoff52°F16 mphgusts 22Wet0.0 mmWindy Over 46% of 93 games since 2023Weather watch ›

San Francisco 49ers

5-0 · Power #1

final

Final

Cleveland Browns

2-2 · Power #8

▲ winner

Closing spread

SF -9.5

✓ CLE W

Total

35.5

▲ Over · 36 pts

Model before kickoff

SF 22–12 CLE

✗ SF (82%) lost

Closing line · ESPN BET

SourceESPN BET closing line

Opennot available

CloseSF -9.5

Total35.5

Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SF –––––	0-0	—	—	—
CLE ––––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: SF away, as favorite; CLE home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SF –––––	0-0	—	5-0
CLE ––––	0-0	—	2-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SFlast 5	5-0 100%	0-0 —	0-0 —
CLElast 4	2-2 50%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

SF 3–4 CLE CLE leads · 7 games since 2003 · SF has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SF+7.9 →+11.1▲ 3.2#1

CLE+6.0 →+2.5▼ 3.5#11

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW5

Longer bar = better

CLE

Offense

◀ SF better

#26

Defense

Even

+1.4 #2

Turnovers

◀ SF better

−1.8 #31

64 plays #18

Pace

CLE faster ▶

71 plays #2

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SF has the ball

Even matchup

	SF off	CLE def	Edge
Points / game	33.4 #2	15.0 #3	Even
Yards / play	6.33 #2	3.80 #1	Even
EPA / play	+0.23 #2	−0.31 #1	Even
Success rate	52% #3	30% #1	Even

When CLE has the ball

Advantage: SF defense

	CLE off	SF def	Edge
Points / game	19.0 #23	13.6 #1	SF
Yards / play	4.44 #27	4.43 #3	SF
EPA / play	−0.21 #30	−0.16 #5	SF
Success rate	40% #24	42% #9	SF

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

SF scoring against the CLE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SF scored	6.8 #7	12.4 #2	19.2 #2	4.0 #17	10.2 #2	14.2 #4
CLE allowed	3.5 #12	6.5 #13	10.0 #11	1.5 #4	3.5 #4	5.0 #2

CLE scoring against the SF defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CLE scored	2.3 #26	7.8 #12	10.0 #18	4.5 #14	4.5 #24	9.0 #21
SF allowed	1.2 #2	8.2 #20	9.4 #10	3.0 #10	1.2 #1	4.2 #1

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.