Cowboys @ 49ers: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 5, 2023)

Sun, Oct 8, 2023, 8:20 PM EDTWeek 5 · at San Francisco 49ers

Weather at kickoff83°F10 mphgusts 23DryWeather watch ›

Dallas Cowboys

3-1 · Power #3

final

Final

San Francisco 49ers

4-0 · Power #1

▲ winner

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

DAL 24–25 SF

✓ SF (58%) won

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
DAL ––––	0-0	—	—	—
SF ––––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: DAL away; SF home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
DAL ––––	0-0	—	3-1
SF ––––	0-0	—	4-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
DALlast 4	3-1 75%	0-0 —	0-0 —
SFlast 4	4-0 100%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

DAL 7–7 SF Series tied · 14 games since 2000 · SF has won the last 4 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

DAL+9.1 →+9.6▲ 0.5#3

SF+7.9 →+10.4▲ 2.5#2

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW4

DAL

Longer bar = better

#11

Offense

SF better ▶

Defense

◀ DAL better

+2.3 #1

Turnovers

◀ DAL better

+1.0 #7

71 plays #3

Pace

◀ DAL faster

63 plays #20

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When DAL has the ball

Even matchup

	DAL off	SF def	Edge
Points / game	31.0 #4	14.5 #2	Even
Yards / play	5.11 #19	4.51 #3	SF
EPA / play	+0.07 #10	−0.10 #8	Even
Success rate	46% #9	43% #14	DAL

When SF has the ball

Even matchup

	SF off	DAL def	Edge
Points / game	31.3 #3	10.3 #1	Even
Yards / play	6.34 #2	4.74 #7	SF
EPA / play	+0.23 #2	−0.33 #1	Even
Success rate	49% #3	38% #4	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

DAL scoring against the SF defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
DAL scored	9.0 #1	11.5 #4	20.5 #2	4.8 #10	5.8 #20	10.5 #16
SF allowed	1.5 #3	8.5 #23	10.0 #12	3.0 #10	1.5 #1	4.5 #2

SF scoring against the DAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SF scored	6.8 #10	12.0 #2	18.8 #3	3.3 #22	9.3 #5	12.5 #8
DAL allowed	3.0 #10	5.5 #8	8.5 #8	0.0 #1	1.8 #2	1.8 #1

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.