Chiefs @ Vikings: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 5, 2023)

Sun, Oct 8, 2023, 4:25 PM EDTWeek 5 · at Minnesota Vikings

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Kansas City Chiefs

3-1 · Power #5

▲ winner

Final

Minnesota Vikings

1-3 · Power #15

final

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

KC 28–19 MIN

✓ KC (78%) won

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KC ––––	0-0	—	—	—
MIN ––––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: KC away; MIN home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KC ––––	0-0	—	3-1
MIN ––––	0-0	—	1-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KClast 4	3-1 75%	0-0 —	0-0 —
MINlast 4	1-3 25%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

KC 5–2 MIN KC leads · 7 games since 1999 · KC has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

KC−1.7 →+4.3▲ 6.0#8

MIN−0.3 →−3.4▼ 3.1#25

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW4

Longer bar = better

MIN

Offense

◀ KC better

#12

Defense

◀ KC better

#17

−0.8 #24

Turnovers

◀ KC better

−2.0 #30

67 plays #11

Pace

◀ KC faster

60 plays #23

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KC has the ball

Advantage: KC offense

	KC off	MIN def	Edge
Points / game	25.3 #9	23.8 #19	KC
Yards / play	5.89 #5	5.01 #10	KC
EPA / play	+0.11 #4	0.00 #20	KC
Success rate	45% #11	44% #18	KC

When MIN has the ball

Advantage: KC defense

	MIN off	KC def	Edge
Points / game	22.5 #17	15.0 #4	KC
Yards / play	6.18 #3	4.87 #9	MIN
EPA / play	−0.04 #18	−0.14 #4	KC
Success rate	46% #9	39% #4	KC

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

KC scoring against the MIN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KC scored	6.0 #11	12.8 #2	18.8 #3	4.3 #14	2.3 #31	6.5 #30
MIN allowed	5.0 #19	7.5 #17	12.5 #21	7.0 #28	4.3 #8	11.3 #20

MIN scoring against the KC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MIN scored	0.0 #31	8.5 #10	8.5 #24	7.0 #4	7.0 #15	14.0 #5
KC allowed	1.8 #4	4.5 #5	6.3 #2	3.8 #14	5.0 #11	8.8 #11

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.