Vikings @ Panthers: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2023)

Sun, Oct 1, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 4 · at Carolina Panthers

Weather at kickoff78°F8 mphgusts 17DryWeather watch ›

Minnesota Vikings

0-3 · Power #15

▲ winner

Final

Carolina Panthers

0-3 · Power #31

final

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

MIN 29–25 CAR

✓ MIN (65%) won

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
MIN –––	0-0	—	—	—
CAR –––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: MIN away; CAR home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
MIN –––	0-0	—	0-3
CAR –––	0-0	—	0-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MINlast 3	0-3 0%	0-0 —	0-0 —
CARlast 3	0-3 0%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

MIN 9–6 CAR MIN leads · 15 games since 2000 · MIN has won the last 3 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

MIN−0.3 →−3.4▼ 3.1#24

CAR−2.1 →−6.9▼ 4.8#31

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

MIN

Longer bar = better

CAR

#11

Offense

◀ MIN better

#25

#24

Defense

Even

#23

−2.3 #31

Turnovers

CAR better ▶

−0.7 #22

65 plays #18

Pace

CAR faster ▶

68 plays #11

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When MIN has the ball

Advantage: MIN offense

	MIN off	CAR def	Edge
Points / game	23.0 #15	27.0 #25	MIN
Yards / play	6.21 #2	5.11 #14	MIN
EPA / play	−0.02 #15	+0.06 #25	MIN
Success rate	44% #12	48% #29	MIN

When CAR has the ball

Even matchup

	CAR off	MIN def	Edge
Points / game	18.0 #23	27.3 #26	Even
Yards / play	4.42 #27	5.54 #25	Even
EPA / play	−0.12 #22	+0.08 #26	Even
Success rate	40% #26	45% #20	MIN

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

MIN scoring against the CAR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MIN scored	0.0 #30	9.0 #10	9.0 #19	4.7 #13	9.3 #5	14.0 #5
CAR allowed	2.0 #4	6.3 #12	8.3 #9	6.7 #26	12.0 #30	18.7 #31

CAR scoring against the MIN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CAR scored	2.0 #23	5.7 #20	7.7 #25	2.0 #28	8.3 #10	10.3 #20
MIN allowed	4.3 #19	8.0 #19	12.3 #23	9.3 #30	5.7 #13	15.0 #27

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.