Chargers @ Vikings: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2023)

Sun, Sep 24, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Minnesota Vikings

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Los Angeles Chargers

0-2 · Power #22

▲ winner

Final

Minnesota Vikings

0-2 · Power #15

final

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

LAC 29–26 MIN

✓ LAC (59%) won

Loading the recap…

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LAC ––	0-0	—	—	—
MIN ––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: LAC away; MIN home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LAC ––	0-0	—	0-2
MIN ––	0-0	—	0-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LAClast 2	0-2 0%	0-0 —	0-0 —
MINlast 2	0-2 0%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

LAC 4–5 MIN MIN leads · 9 games since 1999 · LAC has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LAC−2.1 →−0.4▲ 1.7#13

MIN−0.3 →−3.0▼ 2.7#26

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

LAC

Longer bar = better

MIN

Offense

◀ LAC better

#14

#30

Defense

MIN better ▶

#18

+1.0 #10

Turnovers

◀ LAC better

−3.0 #32

71 plays #6

Pace

◀ LAC faster

59 plays #25

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LAC has the ball

Advantage: LAC offense

	LAC off	MIN def	Edge
Points / game	29.0 #6	27.0 #25	LAC
Yards / play	5.50 #6	4.70 #9	Even
EPA / play	+0.12 #4	+0.03 #22	LAC
Success rate	51% #3	43% #16	LAC

When MIN has the ball

Advantage: MIN offense

	MIN off	LAC def	Edge
Points / game	22.5 #18	31.5 #30	MIN
Yards / play	6.30 #2	6.85 #32	MIN
EPA / play	−0.03 #18	+0.16 #29	MIN
Success rate	42% #16	47% #27	MIN

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 2 teams

LAC scoring against the MIN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LAC scored	5.0	10.5	15.5	3.5	10.0	13.5
MIN allowed	3.0	8.5	11.5	10.5	5.0	15.5

MIN scoring against the LAC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
MIN scored	0.0	8.5	8.5	3.5	10.5	14.0
LAC allowed	3.5	11.5	15.0	7.0	8.0	15.0

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.