Texans @ Jaguars: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2023)

Sun, Sep 24, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Jacksonville Jaguars · Division game

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Houston Texans

0-2 · Power #13

▲ winner

Final

Jacksonville Jaguars

1-1 · Power #12

final

Closing spread

—

Total

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Model before kickoff

HOU 23–33 JAX

✗ JAX (83%) lost

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
HOU ––	0-0	—	—	—
JAX ––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: HOU away; JAX home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
HOU ––	0-0	—	0-2
JAX ––	0-0	—	1-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
HOUlast 2	0-2 0%	0-0 —	0-0 —
JAXlast 2	1-1 50%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

HOU 33–16 JAX HOU leads · 49 games since 2002 · HOU has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

HOU−2.2 →−8.6▼ 6.4#30

JAX+3.9 →−1.4▼ 5.3#20

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

HOU

Longer bar = better

JAX

#28

Offense

JAX better ▶

#22

#25

Defense

JAX better ▶

0.0 #17

Turnovers

JAX better ▶

+1.5 #4

76 plays #3

Pace

◀ HOU faster

67 plays #12

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When HOU has the ball

Advantage: JAX defense

	HOU off	JAX def	Edge
Points / game	14.5 #28	19.0 #10	JAX
Yards / play	4.35 #28	5.11 #14	JAX
EPA / play	−0.14 #23	−0.14 #7	JAX
Success rate	35% #31	36% #3	JAX

When JAX has the ball

Even matchup

	JAX off	HOU def	Edge
Points / game	20.0 #21	28.0 #27	JAX
Yards / play	4.61 #25	5.42 #23	Even
EPA / play	−0.28 #30	+0.10 #26	Even
Success rate	44% #12	46% #25	JAX

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 2 teams

HOU scoring against the JAX defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
HOU scored	3.5	4.5	8.0	0.0	6.5	6.5
JAX allowed	0.0	7.0	7.0	10.5	1.5	12.0

JAX scoring against the HOU defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
JAX scored	3.5	6.5	10.0	1.5	8.5	10.0
HOU allowed	10.5	7.0	17.5	9.0	1.5	10.5

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.