Sun, Sep 17, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Houston Texans · Division game
Closing spread
—
Total
—
Model before kickoff
IND 25–27 HOU
✗ HOU (58%) lost
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
Close—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close—
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Indianapolis Colts have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-1 0% | 0-0 — | 0-0 — | |
| 0-1 0% | 0-0 — | 0-0 — |
Recent meetings
The series
IND 34–15 HOU (1 tied)
IND leads · 50 games since 2002 · IND has won the last meeting
All-time series from nflverse.
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams
Longer bar = better
#24
Offense
◀ IND better#28
#22
Defense
Even#19
−1.0 #19
Turnovers
HOU better ▶+1.0 #13
69 plays #9
Pace
Even72 plays #6
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| IND off | HOU def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 21.0 #15 | 25.0 #23 | IND |
| Yards / play | 4.06 #23 | 4.57 #13 | HOU |
| EPA / play | −0.40 #30 | −0.05 #21 | HOU |
| Success rate | 33% #27 | 41% #18 | HOU |
| HOU off | IND def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 9.0 #29 | 31.0 #28 | Even |
| Yards / play | 3.72 #28 | 4.96 #21 | IND |
| EPA / play | −0.27 #26 | −0.23 #9 | IND |
| Success rate | 31% #30 | 50% #29 | Even |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Indoors
Dome or closed roof
Rest
IND7d
HOU7d
Even
Tempo
Fast 141 plays
slowavg 128fast
Quarterback
IND backup QB started
Not on the final injury report
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

