Sun, Sep 17, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Cincinnati Bengals · Division game
Closing spread
—
Total
—
Model before kickoff
BAL 24–21 CIN
✓ BAL (65%) won
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
Close—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close—
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Baltimore Ravens have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-0 100% | 0-0 — | 0-0 — | |
| 0-1 0% | 0-0 — | 0-0 — |
Recent meetings
The series
BAL 30–25 CIN
BAL leads · 55 games since 1999 · BAL has won the last meeting
All-time series from nflverse.
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams
Longer bar = better
#14
Offense
◀ BAL better#32
#5
Defense
◀ BAL better#19
−1.0 #23
Turnovers
CIN better ▶+2.0 #5
58 plays #25
Pace
◀ BAL faster54 plays #29
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| BAL off | CIN def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 25.0 #9 | 24.0 #21 | BAL |
| Yards / play | 4.57 #20 | 4.86 #20 | Even |
| EPA / play | −0.05 #13 | −0.14 #14 | Even |
| Success rate | 41% #15 | 41% #20 | BAL |
| CIN off | BAL def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 3.0 #31 | 9.0 #4 | BAL |
| Yards / play | 2.63 #32 | 3.72 #4 | BAL |
| EPA / play | −0.47 #32 | −0.27 #7 | BAL |
| Success rate | 21% #32 | 31% #3 | BAL |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
73° · 3 mph
gusts 12 mph · at kickoff
Rest
BAL7d
CIN7d
Even
Tempo
Slow 112 plays
slowavg 128fast
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

