Mon, Sep 18, 2023, 8:15 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Pittsburgh Steelers · Division game
Closing spread
—
Total
—
Model before kickoff
CLE 25–12 PIT
✗ CLE (90%) lost
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
Close—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close—
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Cleveland Browns have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-0 100% | 0-0 — | 0-0 — | |
| 0-1 0% | 0-0 — | 0-0 — |
Recent meetings
The series
CLE 14–42 PIT (1 tied)
PIT leads · 57 games since 1999 · CLE has won the last 2 meetings
All-time series from nflverse.
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams
Longer bar = better
#21
Offense
◀ CLE better#30
#1
Defense
◀ CLE better#25
−2.0 #28
Turnovers
PIT better ▶−1.0 #23
72 plays #4
Pace
◀ CLE faster61 plays #22
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| CLE off | PIT def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 24.0 #16 | 30.0 #28 | CLE |
| Yards / play | 4.86 #22 | 5.92 #29 | CLE |
| EPA / play | −0.14 #24 | +0.16 #28 | Even |
| Success rate | 41% #22 | 43% #15 | PIT |
| PIT off | CLE def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 7.0 #32 | 3.0 #1 | CLE |
| Yards / play | 3.92 #31 | 2.63 #1 | CLE |
| EPA / play | −0.34 #32 | −0.47 #2 | CLE |
| Success rate | 40% #24 | 21% #1 | CLE |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
62° · 7 mph
gusts 16 mph · at kickoff
Rest
CLE8d
PIT8d
Even
Tempo
Fast 133 plays
slowavg 128fast
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

