Mon, Sep 18, 2023, 8:15 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Pittsburgh Steelers · Division game
Weather at kickoff62°F7 mphgusts 16DryWeather watch ›
1-0 · Power #8
22
final
Final
@
0-1 · Power #19
26
▲ winner
Closing spread
—
 
Total
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Model before kickoff
CLE 25–12 PIT
✗ CLE (90%) lost
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Market

Open → close
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Signals

The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Small sample warning
Cleveland Browns have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams
CLE
Longer bar = better
PIT
#21
Offense
◀ CLE better
#30
#1
Defense
◀ CLE better
#25
−2.0 #28
Turnovers
PIT better ▶
−1.0 #23
72 plays #4
Pace
◀ CLE faster
61 plays #22
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When CLE has the ball
Even matchup
CLE offPIT defEdge
Points / game 24.0 #16 30.0 #28 CLE
Yards / play 4.86 #22 5.92 #29 CLE
EPA / play −0.14 #24 +0.16 #28 Even
Success rate 41% #22 43% #15 PIT
When PIT has the ball
Advantage: CLE defense
PIT offCLE defEdge
Points / game 7.0 #32 3.0 #1 CLE
Yards / play 3.92 #31 2.63 #1 CLE
EPA / play −0.34 #32 −0.47 #2 CLE
Success rate 40% #24 21% #1 CLE

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
PIT +1.8
home-field points in the model
Weather
62° · 7 mph
gusts 16 mph · at kickoff
Rest
CLE8d
PIT8d
Even
Tempo
Fast 133 plays
slowavg 128fast