49ers @ Rams: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2023)

Sun, Sep 17, 2023, 4:05 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Los Angeles Rams · Division game

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San Francisco 49ers

1-0 · Power #1

▲ winner

Final

Los Angeles Rams

1-0 · Power #9

final

Closing spread

—

Total

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Model before kickoff

SF 30–30 LAR

✓ SF (52%) won

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SF –	0-0	—	—	—
LAR –	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: SF away; LAR home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SF –	0-0	—	1-0
LAR –	0-0	—	1-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SFlast 1	1-0 100%	0-0 —	0-0 —
LARlast 1	1-0 100%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

SF 31–24 LAR (1 tied) SF leads · 56 games since 1999 · SF has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Longer bar = better

LAR

Offense

Even

Defense

◀ SF better

#14

+1.0 #11

Turnovers

◀ SF better

0.0 #18

66 plays #14

Pace

LAR faster ▶

78 plays #2

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SF has the ball

Advantage: SF offense

	SF off	LAR def	Edge
Points / game	30.0 #6	13.0 #6	Even
Yards / play	5.92 #3	3.91 #7	Even
EPA / play	+0.16 #4	−0.11 #16	SF
Success rate	43% #10	43% #25	SF

When LAR has the ball

Even matchup

	LAR off	SF def	Edge
Points / game	30.0 #7	7.0 #3	Even
Yards / play	5.46 #7	3.92 #8	Even
EPA / play	+0.27 #2	−0.34 #5	Even
Success rate	50% #4	40% #16	LAR

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.