Rams @ Bengals: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2023)

Mon, Sep 25, 2023, 8:15 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Cincinnati Bengals

Weather at kickoff69°F6 mphgusts 14DryWeather watch ›

Los Angeles Rams

1-1 · Power #9

final

Final

Cincinnati Bengals

0-2 · Power #17

▲ winner

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

LAR 36–20 CIN

✗ LAR (94%) lost

Loading the recap…

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LAR ––	0-0	—	—	—
CIN ––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: LAR away; CIN home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LAR ––	0-0	—	1-1
CIN ––	0-0	—	0-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LARlast 2	1-1 50%	0-0 —	0-0 —
CINlast 2	0-2 0%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

LAR 4–4 CIN Series tied · 8 games since 1999 · CIN has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LAR+7.8 →+9.1▲ 1.3#3

CIN−6.0 →−9.9▼ 3.9#31

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

LAR

Longer bar = better

CIN

Offense

◀ LAR better

#30

#21

Defense

◀ LAR better

#25

−1.0 #26

Turnovers

CIN better ▶

+0.5 #16

78 plays #1

Pace

◀ LAR faster

56 plays #30

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LAR has the ball

Advantage: LAR offense

	LAR off	CIN def	Edge
Points / game	26.5 #9	25.5 #23	LAR
Yards / play	5.21 #14	5.39 #20	LAR
EPA / play	+0.12 #6	+0.05 #24	LAR
Success rate	48% #6	49% #31	LAR

When CIN has the ball

Advantage: LAR defense

	CIN off	LAR def	Edge
Points / game	13.5 #32	21.5 #15	LAR
Yards / play	3.82 #32	5.45 #23	LAR
EPA / play	−0.19 #26	+0.03 #22	Even
Success rate	36% #29	46% #23	LAR

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 30 teams

LAR scoring against the CIN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LAR scored	5.0	7.0	12.0	5.0	9.5	14.5
CIN allowed	3.5	8.0	11.5	5.0	9.0	14.0

CIN scoring against the LAR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CIN scored	0.0	5.0	5.0	5.0	3.5	8.5
LAR allowed	5.0	10.0	15.0	1.5	5.0	6.5

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.