Sun, Sep 24, 2023, 4:25 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Arizona Cardinals
Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›
2-0 · Power #3
16
final
Final
@
0-2 · Power #28
28
▲ winner
Closing spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Model before kickoff
DAL 35–14 ARI
✗ DAL (97%) lost
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Market

Open → close
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Signals

The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Small sample warning
Dallas Cowboys have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
DAL+9.1 →+16.9▲ 7.8#1
ARI−0.4 →−1.2▼ 0.8#19
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

DAL
Longer bar = better
ARI
#13
Offense
◀ DAL better
#22
#1
Defense
◀ DAL better
#20
+3.5 #1
Turnovers
◀ DAL better
+1.0 #9
69 plays #8
Pace
◀ DAL faster
59 plays #26
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When DAL has the ball
Advantage: DAL offense
DAL offARI defEdge
Points / game 35.0 #1 25.5 #21 DAL
Yards / play 4.69 #24 5.20 #16 ARI
EPA / play +0.06 #11 −0.03 #15 Even
Success rate 43% #15 46% #26 DAL
When ARI has the ball
Advantage: DAL defense
ARI offDAL defEdge
Points / game 22.0 #19 5.0 #1 DAL
Yards / play 4.99 #21 3.48 #1 DAL
EPA / play −0.08 #20 −0.51 #1 DAL
Success rate 38% #27 34% #2 DAL

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 22 teams
DAL scoring against the ARI defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
DAL scored
11.5
10.5
22.0
6.5
6.5
13.0
ARI allowed
3.5
1.5
5.0
7.0
13.5
20.5
ARI scoring against the DAL defense
Q1Q21HQ3Q42H
ARI scored
5.0
11.5
16.5
5.5
0.0
5.5
DAL allowed
0.0
5.0
5.0
0.0
0.0
0.0

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
ARI +1.8
home-field points in the model
Weather
Indoors
Dome or closed roof
Rest
DAL7d
ARI7d
Even
Tempo
Average 128 plays
slowavg 128fast
Travel
DAL 879 mi
2 time zones