Sun, Sep 24, 2023, 4:25 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Arizona Cardinals
Closing spread
—
Total
—
Model before kickoff
DAL 35–14 ARI
✗ DAL (97%) lost
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
Close—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close—
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Dallas Cowboys have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-0 100% | 0-0 — | 0-0 — | |
| 0-2 0% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
Recent meetings
The series
DAL 7–12 ARI
ARI leads · 19 games since 1999 · ARI has won the last 4 meetings
All-time series from nflverse.
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
DAL+9.1 →+16.9▲ 7.8#1
ARI−0.4 →−1.2▼ 0.8#19
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2
Longer bar = better
#13
Offense
◀ DAL better#22
#1
Defense
◀ DAL better#20
+3.5 #1
Turnovers
◀ DAL better+1.0 #9
69 plays #8
Pace
◀ DAL faster59 plays #26
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| DAL off | ARI def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 35.0 #1 | 25.5 #21 | DAL |
| Yards / play | 4.69 #24 | 5.20 #16 | ARI |
| EPA / play | +0.06 #11 | −0.03 #15 | Even |
| Success rate | 43% #15 | 46% #26 | DAL |
| ARI off | DAL def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 22.0 #19 | 5.0 #1 | DAL |
| Yards / play | 4.99 #21 | 3.48 #1 | DAL |
| EPA / play | −0.08 #20 | −0.51 #1 | DAL |
| Success rate | 38% #27 | 34% #2 | DAL |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 22 teams
DAL scoring against the ARI defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11.5 | 10.5 | 22.0 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 13.0 | |
3.5 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 13.5 | 20.5 |
ARI scoring against the DAL defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5.0 | 11.5 | 16.5 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 5.5 | |
0.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
Indoors
Dome or closed roof
Rest
DAL7d
ARI7d
Even
Tempo
Average 128 plays
slowavg 128fast
Travel
DAL 879 mi
2 time zones
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

