Bears @ Chiefs: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2023)

Sun, Sep 24, 2023, 4:25 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Kansas City Chiefs

Weather at kickoff80°F7 mphgusts 15DryWeather watch ›

Chicago Bears

0-2 · Power #18

final

Final

Kansas City Chiefs

1-1 · Power #5

▲ winner

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

CHI 12–28 KC

✓ KC (94%) won

Loading the recap…

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CHI ––	0-0	—	—	—
KC ––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: CHI away; KC home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CHI ––	0-0	—	0-2
KC ––	0-0	—	1-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CHIlast 2	0-2 0%	0-0 —	0-0 —
KClast 2	1-1 50%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

CHI 3–4 KC KC leads · 7 games since 1999 · KC has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CHI−5.2 →−10.7▼ 5.5#32

KC−1.7 →+0.3▲ 2.0#10

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

CHI

Longer bar = better

#24

Offense

KC better ▶

#17

#26

Defense

KC better ▶

−2.0 #30

Turnovers

KC better ▶

−1.0 #23

61 plays #22

Pace

KC faster ▶

63 plays #17

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CHI has the ball

Advantage: KC defense

	CHI off	KC def	Edge
Points / game	18.5 #23	15.0 #4	KC
Yards / play	4.52 #26	4.77 #10	KC
EPA / play	−0.17 #26	−0.14 #8	KC
Success rate	41% #20	39% #8	KC

When KC has the ball

Advantage: KC offense

	KC off	CHI def	Edge
Points / game	18.5 #22	32.5 #31	KC
Yards / play	5.67 #5	5.98 #31	KC
EPA / play	0.00 #15	+0.20 #32	KC
Success rate	40% #25	40% #10	CHI

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 22 teams

CHI scoring against the KC defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CHI scored	5.0	3.0	8.0	4.0	6.5	10.5
KC allowed	3.5	3.0	6.5	3.5	5.0	8.5

KC scoring against the CHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
KC scored	0.0	10.5	10.5	5.0	3.0	8.0
CHI allowed	5.0	6.5	11.5	10.5	10.5	21.0

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.