Chiefs @ Jaguars: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2023)

Sun, Sep 17, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Jacksonville Jaguars

Weather at kickoff85°F8 mphgusts 18Wet0.0 mmWet Over 51% of 104 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Kansas City Chiefs

0-1 · Power #5

▲ winner

Final

Jacksonville Jaguars

1-0 · Power #12

final

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

KC 25–29 JAX

✗ JAX (65%) lost

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KC –	0-0	—	—	—
JAX –	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: KC away; JAX home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
KC –	0-0	—	0-1
JAX –	0-0	—	1-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KClast 1	0-1 0%	0-0 —	0-0 —
JAXlast 1	1-0 100%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

KC 10–5 JAX KC leads · 15 games since 2001 · JAX has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Longer bar = better

JAX

#16

Offense

JAX better ▶

#11

#21

Defense

JAX better ▶

0.0 #15

Turnovers

JAX better ▶

+1.0 #9

62 plays #19

Pace

JAX faster ▶

69 plays #10

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When KC has the ball

Advantage: JAX defense

	KC off	JAX def	Edge
Points / game	20.0 #16	21.0 #18	Even
Yards / play	5.10 #10	4.06 #9	Even
EPA / play	−0.15 #20	−0.40 #3	JAX
Success rate	40% #17	33% #6	JAX

When JAX has the ball

Advantage: JAX offense

	JAX off	KC def	Edge
Points / game	31.0 #5	21.0 #17	JAX
Yards / play	4.96 #12	5.26 #23	JAX
EPA / play	−0.23 #24	+0.05 #25	Even
Success rate	50% #3	41% #19	JAX

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.