Sun, Sep 17, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Detroit Lions
Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›
0-1 · Power #20
37
▲ winner
Final
@
1-0 · Power #6
31
final
Closing spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Model before kickoff
SEA 21–31 DET
✗ DET (83%) lost
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Market

Open → close
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Signals

The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Small sample warning
Seattle Seahawks have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
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Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams
SEA
Longer bar = better
DET
#20
Offense
DET better ▶
#11
#28
Defense
DET better ▶
#17
0.0 #17
Turnovers
Even
0.0 #16
46 plays #32
Pace
DET faster ▶
70 plays #7
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When SEA has the ball
Even matchup
SEA offDET defEdge
Points / game 13.0 #27 20.0 #14 DET
Yards / play 3.91 #25 5.10 #22 Even
EPA / play −0.11 #18 −0.15 #13 DET
Success rate 43% #9 40% #17 SEA
When DET has the ball
Advantage: DET offense
DET offSEA defEdge
Points / game 21.0 #14 30.0 #27 DET
Yards / play 5.26 #9 5.46 #25 DET
EPA / play +0.05 #8 +0.27 #31 DET
Success rate 41% #14 50% #30 DET

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
DET +1.8
home-field points in the model
Weather
Indoors
Dome or closed roof
Rest
SEA7d
DET10d
DET +3 days
Tempo
Slow 116 plays
slowavg 128fast
Travel
SEA 1,933 mi
3 time zones