Sun, Sep 17, 2023, 4:05 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Arizona Cardinals
Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›
0-1 · Power #30
31
▲ winner
Final
@
0-1 · Power #28
28
final
Closing spread
—
 
Total
—
 
Model before kickoff
NYG 21–28 ARI
✗ ARI (73%) lost
Loading the recap…

Market

Open → close
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 

Signals

The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total

None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.

Small sample warning
New York Giants have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Loading play-by-play…

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams
NYG
Longer bar = better
ARI
#31
Offense
Even
#28
#26
Defense
ARI better ▶
#10
−3.0 #31
Turnovers
ARI better ▶
+1.0 #12
65 plays #17
Pace
◀ NYG faster
58 plays #24
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
When NYG has the ball
Advantage: ARI defense
NYG offARI defEdge
Points / game 0.0 #32 20.0 #15 ARI
Yards / play 2.63 #31 3.82 #5 ARI
EPA / play −0.46 #31 −0.29 #6 ARI
Success rate 32% #28 38% #12 ARI
When ARI has the ball
Even matchup
ARI offNYG defEdge
Points / game 16.0 #23 40.0 #32 ARI
Yards / play 3.62 #29 4.82 #18 NYG
EPA / play −0.35 #29 +0.06 #26 Even
Success rate 31% #29 44% #26 Even

Game conditions

At kickoff
Home field
ARI +1.8
home-field points in the model
Weather
Indoors
Dome or closed roof
Rest
NYG7d
ARI7d
Even
Tempo
Average 123 plays
slowavg 128fast
Travel
NYG 2,144 mi
3 time zones