Bears @ Buccaneers: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2023)

Sun, Sep 17, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 2 · at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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Chicago Bears

0-1 · Power #18

final

Final

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

1-0 · Power #14

▲ winner

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

CHI 23–31 TB

✓ TB (77%) won

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CHI –	0-0	—	—	—
TB –	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: CHI away; TB home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CHI –	0-0	—	0-1
TB –	0-0	—	1-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CHIlast 1	0-1 0%	0-0 —	0-0 —
TBlast 1	1-0 100%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

CHI 10–10 TB Series tied · 20 games since 1999 · TB has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

CHI

Longer bar = better

#19

Offense

◀ CHI better

#22

#24

Defense

TB better ▶

#18

−2.0 #27

Turnovers

TB better ▶

+3.0 #2

70 plays #8

Pace

Even

68 plays #11

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CHI has the ball

Even matchup

	CHI off	TB def	Edge
Points / game	20.0 #19	17.0 #12	TB
Yards / play	4.44 #22	5.86 #30	CHI
EPA / play	−0.18 #21	−0.13 #15	TB
Success rate	42% #12	40% #15	Even

When TB has the ball

Even matchup

	TB off	CHI def	Edge
Points / game	20.0 #17	38.0 #31	TB
Yards / play	3.56 #30	5.48 #26	Even
EPA / play	−0.10 #16	+0.16 #28	TB
Success rate	34% #26	37% #9	CHI

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.