Sun, Sep 24, 2023, 4:05 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Seattle Seahawks
Closing spread
—
Total
—
Model before kickoff
CAR 20–25 SEA
✓ SEA (69%) won
Market
Open → close
Spread
Open—
no open
Close—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Close—
Signals
The data signal, and 1 trend and market move behind it
No clear signal on the spread
No clear signal on the total
None of these signals has beaten the market in our backtest, so this describes why the matchup is interesting — it isn’t a pick.
Small sample warning
Carolina Panthers have 0 games with a line this season; trends this early are mostly noise.
Last 10 games
Before kickoff, this and last season
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-2 0% | 0-0 — | 0-0 — | |
| 1-1 50% | 0-0 — | 0-0 — |
Recent meetings
The series
CAR 5–12 SEA
SEA leads · 17 games since 2000 · SEA has won the last 2 meetings
All-time series from nflverse.
Matchup stats
Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams
Power rating this season
pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot
CAR−2.1 →−3.3▼ 1.2#27
SEA−7.8 →−2.7▲ 5.1#25
Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2
Longer bar = better
#28
Offense
SEA better ▶#11
#14
Defense
◀ CAR better#29
−1.5 #27
Turnovers
SEA better ▶+1.5 #6
64 plays #15
Pace
◀ CAR faster57 plays #28
Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense
| CAR off | SEA def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 13.5 #30 | 30.5 #29 | Even |
| Yards / play | 4.06 #31 | 5.94 #30 | Even |
| EPA / play | −0.22 #29 | +0.13 #27 | Even |
| Success rate | 41% #21 | 50% #30 | CAR |
| SEA off | CAR def | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / game | 25.0 #13 | 22.0 #13 | Even |
| Yards / play | 5.07 #16 | 4.61 #7 | CAR |
| EPA / play | +0.10 #8 | −0.02 #17 | SEA |
| Success rate | 50% #5 | 44% #18 | SEA |
Points by quarter and half
Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 20 teams
CAR scoring against the SEA defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1.5 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 5.5 | 8.5 | |
7.0 | 3.5 | 10.5 | 8.5 | 11.5 | 20.0 |
SEA scoring against the CAR defense
| Q1 | Q2 | 1H | Q3 | Q4 | 2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | |
1.5 | 5.0 | 6.5 | 5.0 | 10.5 | 15.5 |
Game conditions
At kickoff
Home field
home-field points in the model
Weather
60° · 1 mph
gusts 7 mph · at kickoff
Rest
CAR6d
SEA7d
SEA +1 day
Tempo
Slow 121 plays
slowavg 128fast
Travel
CAR 2,280 mi
3 time zones
Quarterback
CAR backup QB started
Model priced CAR with its QB out
Schedules, links & other games
Previous and next games, standings, ESPN, and the rest of the week

