Saints @ Packers: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2023)

Sun, Sep 24, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Green Bay Packers

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New Orleans Saints

2-0 · Power #11

final

Final

Green Bay Packers

1-1 · Power #10

▲ winner

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

NO 27–27 GB

✗ NO (50%) lost

Loading the recap…

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NO ––	0-0	—	—	—
GB ––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: NO away; GB home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NO ––	0-0	—	2-0
GB ––	0-0	—	1-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NOlast 2	2-0 100%	0-0 —	0-0 —
GBlast 2	1-1 50%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

NO 6–6 GB Series tied · 12 games since 2002 · GB has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NO+0.8 →+1.9▲ 1.1#8

GB+5.2 →−0.6▼ 5.8#16

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

Longer bar = better

#19

Offense

GB better ▶

#10

Defense

◀ NO better

#17

+0.5 #12

Turnovers

GB better ▶

+1.5 #5

69 plays #7

Pace

◀ NO faster

54 plays #30

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NO has the ball

Even matchup

	NO off	GB def	Edge
Points / game	18.0 #25	22.5 #14	GB
Yards / play	5.01 #18	5.11 #15	Even
EPA / play	−0.02 #17	−0.03 #16	Even
Success rate	42% #17	46% #23	NO

When GB has the ball

Advantage: NO defense

	GB off	NO def	Edge
Points / game	31.0 #2	16.0 #5	Even
Yards / play	5.17 #13	4.56 #6	NO
EPA / play	+0.11 #6	−0.19 #4	Even
Success rate	42% #19	36% #4	NO

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 2 teams

NO scoring against the GB defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NO scored	3.0	3.0	6.0	8.5	3.5	12.0
GB allowed	3.0	4.5	7.5	5.5	9.5	15.0

GB scoring against the NO defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
GB scored	3.5	6.5	10.0	14.0	7.0	21.0
NO allowed	4.5	1.5	6.0	1.5	8.5	10.0

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.