Patriots @ Jets: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2023)

Sun, Sep 24, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at New York Jets · Division game

Weather at kickoff64°F19 mphgusts 37Wet0.0 mmWindy Over 46% of 93 games since 2023Weather watch ›

New England Patriots

0-2 · Power #29

▲ winner

Final

New York Jets

1-1 · Power #26

final

Closing spread

—

Total

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Model before kickoff

NE 12–20 NYJ

✗ NYJ (75%) lost

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NE ––	0-0	—	—	—
NYJ ––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: NE away; NYJ home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
NE ––	0-0	—	0-2
NYJ ––	0-0	—	1-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NElast 2	0-2 0%	0-0 —	0-0 —
NYJlast 2	1-1 50%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

NE 43–14 NYJ NE leads · 57 games since 1999 · NE has won the last 4 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

NE0.0 →−2.3▼ 2.3#24

NYJ+1.0 →+3.5▲ 2.5#6

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

Longer bar = better

NYJ

#21

Offense

◀ NE better

#25

#19

Defense

Even

#16

−1.0 #24

Turnovers

Even

−0.5 #22

75 plays #4

Pace

◀ NE faster

50 plays #31

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When NE has the ball

Advantage: NYJ defense

	NE off	NYJ def	Edge
Points / game	18.5 #24	23.0 #15	NYJ
Yards / play	4.50 #27	4.61 #8	NYJ
EPA / play	−0.15 #25	0.00 #18	NYJ
Success rate	46% #7	46% #22	NE

When NYJ has the ball

Advantage: NE defense

	NYJ off	NE def	Edge
Points / game	16.0 #27	24.5 #18	NE
Yards / play	5.09 #15	5.25 #17	Even
EPA / play	−0.30 #31	+0.02 #20	NE
Success rate	38% #28	44% #19	NE

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 2 teams

NE scoring against the NYJ defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NE scored	0.0	8.5	8.5	0.0	10.0	10.0
NYJ allowed	5.0	10.5	15.5	3.0	4.5	7.5

NYJ scoring against the NE defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
NYJ scored	0.0	6.5	6.5	1.5	5.0	6.5
NE allowed	9.5	7.0	16.5	1.5	6.5	8.0

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.