Dolphins @ Patriots: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 2, 2023)

Sun, Sep 17, 2023, 8:20 PM EDTWeek 2 · at New England Patriots · Division game

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Miami Dolphins

1-0 · Power #7

▲ winner

Final

New England Patriots

0-1 · Power #29

final

Closing spread

—

Total

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Model before kickoff

MIA 30–32 NE

✗ NE (57%) lost

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
MIA –	0-0	—	—	—
NE –	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: MIA away; NE home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
MIA –	0-0	—	1-0
NE –	0-0	—	0-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
MIAlast 1	1-0 100%	0-0 —	0-0 —
NElast 1	0-1 0%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

MIA 25–29 NE NE leads · 54 games since 1999 · NE has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

MIA

Longer bar = better

Offense

◀ MIA better

#23

#29

Defense

NE better ▶

−2.0 #29

Turnovers

NE better ▶

−1.0 #23

65 plays #15

Pace

NE faster ▶

78 plays #1

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When MIA has the ball

Advantage: MIA offense

	MIA off	NE def	Edge
Points / game	36.0 #1	25.0 #18	MIA
Yards / play	8.25 #1	4.11 #3	Even
EPA / play	+0.31 #1	−0.15 #5	Even
Success rate	51% #2	35% #4	Even

When NE has the ball

Advantage: NE offense

	NE off	MIA def	Edge
Points / game	20.0 #22	34.0 #31	NE
Yards / play	4.90 #22	5.70 #27	NE
EPA / play	−0.20 #28	+0.15 #27	Even
Success rate	41% #21	58% #32	NE

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.