Colts @ Ravens: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 3, 2023)

Sun, Sep 24, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 3 · at Baltimore Ravens

Weather at kickoff65°F6 mphgusts 13Wet0.0 mmWet Over 51% of 104 games since 2023Weather watch ›

Indianapolis Colts

1-1 · Power #21

▲ winner

Final

Baltimore Ravens

2-0 · Power #2

final

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

IND 21–27 BAL

✗ BAL (71%) lost

Loading the recap…

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
IND ––	0-0	—	—	—
BAL ––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: IND away; BAL home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
IND ––	0-0	—	1-1
BAL ––	0-0	—	2-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
INDlast 2	1-1 50%	0-0 —	0-0 —
BALlast 2	2-0 100%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

IND 10–7 BAL IND leads · 17 games since 2001 · BAL has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

IND−3.9 →−4.4▼ 0.5#29

BAL+2.2 →−1.8▼ 4.0#22

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW2

IND

Longer bar = better

BAL

#17

Offense

BAL better ▶

#16

Defense

BAL better ▶

0.0 #15

Turnovers

Even

0.0 #16

63 plays #20

Pace

BAL faster ▶

64 plays #16

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When IND has the ball

Advantage: BAL defense

	IND off	BAL def	Edge
Points / game	26.0 #11	16.5 #7	Even
Yards / play	5.06 #17	4.26 #5	BAL
EPA / play	−0.11 #22	−0.13 #10	BAL
Success rate	42% #18	39% #7	BAL

When BAL has the ball

Advantage: BAL offense

	BAL off	IND def	Edge
Points / game	26.0 #12	25.5 #20	BAL
Yards / play	5.31 #10	4.94 #12	Even
EPA / play	+0.11 #7	−0.12 #11	Even
Success rate	50% #4	44% #20	BAL

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 2 teams

IND scoring against the BAL defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
IND scored	7.0	10.5	17.5	8.5	0.0	8.5
BAL allowed	0.0	8.0	8.0	3.5	5.0	8.5

BAL scoring against the IND defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
BAL scored	7.0	3.0	10.0	11.0	5.0	16.0
IND allowed	7.0	5.0	12.0	1.5	12.0	13.5

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.