Rams @ Colts: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 4, 2023)

Sun, Oct 1, 2023, 1:00 PM EDTWeek 4 · at Indianapolis Colts

Weather at kickoffIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Los Angeles Rams

1-2 · Power #9

▲ winner

Final

Indianapolis Colts

2-1 · Power #21

final

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

LAR 29–22 IND

✓ LAR (73%) won

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LAR –––	0-0	—	—	—
IND –––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: LAR away; IND home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
LAR –––	0-0	—	1-2
IND –––	0-0	—	2-1

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LARlast 3	1-2 33%	0-0 —	0-0 —
INDlast 3	2-1 67%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

LAR 6–2 IND LAR leads · 8 games since 2001 · LAR has won the last 5 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

LAR+7.8 →+5.2▼ 2.6#7

IND−3.9 →−0.6▲ 3.3#14

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW3

LAR

Longer bar = better

IND

#11

Offense

◀ LAR better

#20

#13

Defense

Even

#15

−1.0 #26

Turnovers

IND better ▶

+0.7 #11

69 plays #6

Pace

Even

70 plays #5

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When LAR has the ball

Even matchup

	LAR off	IND def	Edge
Points / game	23.0 #17	23.3 #19	Even
Yards / play	5.31 #13	4.98 #12	Even
EPA / play	+0.05 #8	−0.13 #7	Even
Success rate	46% #7	46% #21	LAR

When IND has the ball

Advantage: LAR defense

	IND off	LAR def	Edge
Points / game	24.7 #11	20.7 #14	Even
Yards / play	4.59 #25	4.91 #11	LAR
EPA / play	−0.12 #23	−0.02 #17	LAR
Success rate	41% #22	41% #11	LAR

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

LAR scoring against the IND defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LAR scored	4.3 #15	5.7 #20	10.0 #16	4.3 #16	8.7 #8	13.0 #9
IND allowed	7.0 #28	3.3 #4	10.3 #13	3.3 #14	9.7 #25	13.0 #25

IND scoring against the LAR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
IND scored	4.7 #12	10.3 #5	15.0 #9	6.7 #5	2.0 #31	8.7 #23
LAR allowed	3.3 #15	8.7 #24	12.0 #21	4.3 #17	4.3 #8	8.7 #8

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.