Eagles @ Rams: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 5, 2023)

Sun, Oct 8, 2023, 4:05 PM EDTWeek 5 · at Los Angeles Rams

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Philadelphia Eagles

4-0 · Power #16

▲ winner

Final

Los Angeles Rams

2-2 · Power #9

final

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

PHI 28–31 LAR

✗ LAR (61%) lost

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PHI –––L	0-1	0%	—	—
LAR ––––	0-0	—	—	—

Venue/role: PHI away; LAR home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
PHI –––O	1-0	100%	4-0
LAR ––––	0-0	—	2-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PHIlast 4	4-0 100%	0-1 0%	1-0 100%
LARlast 4	2-2 50%	0-0 —	0-0 —

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

PHI 12–5 LAR PHI leads · 17 games since 1999 · LAR has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

PHI0.0 →+1.8▲ 1.8#12

LAR+7.8 →+5.6▼ 2.2#7

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW4

PHI

Longer bar = better

LAR

Offense

Even

#10

#15

Defense

Even

#14

+1.0 #7

Turnovers

◀ PHI better

−0.8 #25

70 plays #4

Pace

Even

72 plays #1

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When PHI has the ball

Advantage: PHI offense

	PHI off	LAR def	Edge
Points / game	29.5 #5	21.3 #15	PHI
Yards / play	5.58 #10	5.10 #16	PHI
EPA / play	+0.07 #8	−0.01 #19	PHI
Success rate	48% #6	41% #7	Even

When LAR has the ball

Advantage: LAR offense

	LAR off	PHI def	Edge
Points / game	24.5 #13	22.5 #16	Even
Yards / play	5.49 #11	5.16 #17	LAR
EPA / play	+0.09 #6	−0.02 #18	LAR
Success rate	46% #8	42% #10	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

PHI scoring against the LAR defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
PHI scored	7.3 #5	5.8 #20	13.0 #10	9.3 #1	6.5 #17	15.8 #2
LAR allowed	2.5 #8	6.5 #15	9.0 #9	5.3 #24	7.0 #20	12.3 #22

LAR scoring against the PHI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LAR scored	6.8 #9	5.8 #20	12.5 #12	4.0 #15	6.5 #17	10.5 #16
PHI allowed	1.8 #4	8.5 #22	10.3 #15	1.8 #4	10.5 #29	12.3 #22

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.