Bengals @ Cardinals: Result, Lines & ATS Trends (Week 5, 2023)

Sun, Oct 8, 2023, 4:05 PM EDTWeek 5 · at Arizona Cardinals

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Cincinnati Bengals

1-3 · Power #17

▲ winner

Final

Arizona Cardinals

1-3 · Power #28

final

Closing spread

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Total

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Model before kickoff

CIN 23–27 ARI

✗ ARI (65%) lost

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ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CIN ––––	0-0	—	—	—
ARI W–––	1-0	100%	—	—

Venue/role: CIN away; ARI home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
CIN ––––	0-0	—	1-3
ARI U–––	0-1	0%	1-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CINlast 4	1-3 25%	0-0 —	0-0 —
ARIlast 4	1-3 25%	1-0 100%	0-1 0%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

The series

CIN 4–4 ARI Series tied · 8 games since 2000 · CIN has won the last 2 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

CIN−6.0 →−6.5▼ 0.5#28

ARI−0.4 →−0.9▼ 0.5#16

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW4

CIN

Longer bar = better

ARI

#30

Offense

ARI better ▶

#13

#24

Defense

◀ CIN better

#29

+0.5 #12

Turnovers

Even

+0.8 #10

59 plays #25

Pace

Even

60 plays #24

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When CIN has the ball

Even matchup

	CIN off	ARI def	Edge
Points / game	12.3 #31	25.5 #26	ARI
Yards / play	4.00 #31	5.76 #28	Even
EPA / play	−0.17 #27	+0.10 #29	Even
Success rate	38% #29	50% #31	Even

When ARI has the ball

Advantage: ARI offense

	ARI off	CIN def	Edge
Points / game	22.0 #18	23.5 #18	Even
Yards / play	5.68 #9	5.69 #23	ARI
EPA / play	+0.04 #10	+0.05 #25	ARI
Success rate	44% #14	47% #28	ARI

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

CIN scoring against the ARI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
CIN scored	0.8 #29	4.0 #28	4.8 #31	5.0 #8	2.5 #30	7.5 #26
ARI allowed	4.3 #17	6.0 #12	10.3 #15	4.3 #19	11.0 #32	15.3 #29

ARI scoring against the CIN defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARI scored	4.8 #16	11.3 #5	16.0 #8	4.3 #13	1.8 #32	6.0 #31
CIN allowed	3.3 #11	10.0 #29	13.3 #22	4.0 #15	6.3 #18	10.3 #16

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.